BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joshua Burkman vs.
Forrest Petz

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-12-0 (1 NC) Joshua Burkman · UFC
2-5-0 Forrest Petz · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-12-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
2-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
46.3
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
50.9
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
101.5
Layoff (months)Δ 89.2 mo
190.7
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Forrest Petz carries real power — 0.92 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Joshua Burkman hunts takedowns — 2.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Forrest Petz is wasteful with head shots — only 19% land, vs a 37% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joshua Burkman

Full career not yet synced for Joshua Burkman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Forrest Petz

Full career not yet synced for Forrest Petz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5432.69/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1842.27/min · norm 3.17
6323.13/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1782.20/min · norm 3.06
43.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
29.6%norm 44.9%
51.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.4%norm 55.25%
20.15/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.92/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joshua Burkman

Distance 78.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.0% (norm 8.1%)

Forrest Petz

Distance 83.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joshua Burkman

Head 69.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 19.0% (norm 8.4%)

Forrest Petz

Head 78.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Burkman L/AAccWelterweight med Petz L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 364 / 977 37.3% 38.6% 123 / 521 23.6% 38.6%
In the clinch 125 / 193 64.8% 67.8% 45 / 72 62.5% 67.8%
On the ground 54 / 75 72.0% 67.2% 16 / 29 55.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 259 / 863 30.0% 37.2% 91 / 485 18.8% 37.2%
To the body 91 / 146 62.3% 70.7% 73 / 115 63.5% 70.7%
To the legs 193 / 236 81.8% 82.9% 20 / 22 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Burkman L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Petz L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 402 / 996 40.4% 39.0% 98 / 287 34.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 160 / 232 69.0% 68.9% 34 / 60 56.7% 68.9%
On the ground 70 / 87 80.5% 68.0% 46 / 71 64.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 396 / 1002 39.5% 35.6% 107 / 334 32.0% 35.6%
To the body 130 / 184 70.7% 69.6% 27 / 37 73.0% 69.6%
To the legs 106 / 129 82.2% 82.1% 44 / 47 93.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3437.0% acc · 2.53/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
7100.0% acc · 1.29/15 · norm 1.27
3772.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2866.7% def · norm 63.9%
51:0125.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
13:1116.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
34:232:33 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
20:473:50 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.30/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Burkman has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.