Joshua Burkman vs.
Drew Dober
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Joshua Burkman
Full career not yet synced for Joshua Burkman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500
Drew Dober
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 16 | 11 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 13 | 4 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts
In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Joshua Burkman
Distance 78.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.0% (norm 8.1%)
Drew Dober
Distance 87.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Joshua Burkman
Head 69.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 19.0% (norm 8.4%)
Drew Dober
Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Burkman L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Dober L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 364 / 977 | 37.3% | 38.6% | 790 / 2128 | 37.1% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 125 / 193 | 64.8% | 67.8% | 111 / 170 | 65.3% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 54 / 75 | 72.0% | 67.2% | 93 / 125 | 74.4% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 259 / 863 | 30.0% | 37.2% | 628 / 1922 | 32.7% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 91 / 146 | 62.3% | 70.7% | 225 / 326 | 69.0% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 193 / 236 | 81.8% | 82.9% | 141 / 175 | 80.6% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Burkman L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Dober L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 402 / 996 | 40.4% | 39.0% | 771 / 1793 | 43.0% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 160 / 232 | 69.0% | 68.9% | 87 / 121 | 71.9% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 70 / 87 | 80.5% | 68.0% | 102 / 132 | 77.3% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 396 / 1002 | 39.5% | 35.6% | 681 / 1668 | 40.8% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 130 / 184 | 70.7% | 69.6% | 197 / 279 | 70.6% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 106 / 129 | 82.2% | 82.1% | 82 / 99 | 82.8% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.