BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Josh Sampo vs.
Justin Scoggins

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Josh Sampo · UFC
4-5-0 Justin Scoggins · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
4-5-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
42
AgeΔ 8 yrs
34
5'4"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
64"
ReachΔ 2"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
134.5
Layoff (months)Δ 37.8 mo
96.7
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Josh Sampo is a submission threat — 2.11 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Justin Scoggins hunts takedowns — 3.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Justin Scoggins owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Josh Sampo

Full career not yet synced for Josh Sampo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Justin Scoggins

Full career not yet synced for Justin Scoggins — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

851.99/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
3593.56/min · norm 3.49
1262.96/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
2182.16/min · norm 3.24
36.5%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
51.7%norm 44.6%
55.9%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
55.7%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Josh Sampo

Distance 82.4% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 9.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 8.6% (norm 7.3%)

Justin Scoggins

Distance 75.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Josh Sampo

Head 70.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 19.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 9.3%)

Justin Scoggins

Head 74.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.3% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sampo L/AAccFlyweight med Scoggins L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 64 / 192 33.3% 40.0% 222 / 527 42.1% 40.0%
In the clinch 10 / 21 too few to rate 70.4% 38 / 46 82.6% 70.4%
On the ground 11 / 20 too few to rate 69.7% 99 / 121 81.8% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 46 / 165 27.9% 37.6% 236 / 516 45.7% 37.6%
To the body 23 / 46 50.0% 68.5% 74 / 120 61.7% 68.5%
To the legs 16 / 22 too few to rate 80.0% 49 / 58 84.5% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sampo L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Scoggins L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 110 / 261 42.1% 40.1% 144 / 390 36.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 4 / 6 too few to rate 68.8% 42 / 57 73.7% 68.8%
On the ground 12 / 19 too few to rate 71.1% 32 / 45 71.1% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 73 / 213 34.3% 35.2% 119 / 338 35.2% 35.2%
To the body 33 / 44 75.0% 68.2% 58 / 89 65.2% 68.2%
To the legs 20 / 29 69.0% 80.3% 41 / 65 63.1% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

333.3% acc · 1.06/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
2363.9% acc · 3.42/15 · norm 1.30
440.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3382.5% def · norm 62.5%
7:0916.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
36:3436.3% of cage time · norm 17.0%
10:133:35 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
13:081:57 per 15 · norm 2:44
62.11/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
30.45/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Scoggins has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.