Josh Rafferty vs.
Alex Karalexis
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Josh Rafferty
Full career not yet synced for Josh Rafferty — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Alex Karalexis
Full career not yet synced for Alex Karalexis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Josh Rafferty
Distance 100.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.1%)
Alex Karalexis
Distance 55.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 36.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.7% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Josh Rafferty
Head 33.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 33.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 33.3% (norm 8.4%)
Alex Karalexis
Head 92.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 1.4% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Rafferty L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Karalexis L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 1 / 3 | too few to rate | 38.6% | 11 / 76 | 14.5% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 67.8% | 22 / 50 | 44.0% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 9 / 12 | too few to rate | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 0 / 1 | too few to rate | 37.2% | 35 / 127 | 27.6% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 70.7% | 5 / 9 | too few to rate | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 0 / 1 | too few to rate | 82.9% | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Rafferty L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Karalexis L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 0 / 4 | too few to rate | 39.0% | 32 / 82 | 39.0% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 68.9% | 35 / 57 | 61.4% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 6 / 8 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 6 / 12 | too few to rate | 35.6% | 36 / 95 | 37.9% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 69.6% | 30 / 42 | 71.4% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 1 / 2 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Karalexis has more cage time on record.