Josh Quinlan vs.
Trey Waters
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Josh Quinlan
Full career not yet synced for Josh Quinlan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500
Trey Waters
Full career not yet synced for Trey Waters — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Josh Quinlan
Distance 98.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 0.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.6% (norm 8.1%)
Trey Waters
Distance 99.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 0.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.2% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Josh Quinlan
Head 76.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 8.4%)
Trey Waters
Head 90.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Quinlan L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Waters L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 141 / 352 | 40.1% | 38.6% | 214 / 462 | 46.3% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 67.8% | 3 / 3 | too few to rate | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 75 / 271 | 27.7% | 37.2% | 190 / 423 | 44.9% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 30 / 39 | 76.9% | 70.7% | 16 / 28 | 57.1% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 40 / 46 | 87.0% | 82.9% | 12 / 15 | too few to rate | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Quinlan L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Waters L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 271 / 592 | 45.8% | 39.0% | 179 / 408 | 43.9% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 2 / 4 | too few to rate | 68.9% | 10 / 15 | too few to rate | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 7 / 9 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 199 / 492 | 40.4% | 35.6% | 111 / 321 | 34.6% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 60 / 87 | 69.0% | 69.6% | 23 / 41 | 56.1% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 21 / 26 | 80.8% | 82.1% | 57 / 63 | 90.5% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Quinlan has more cage time on record.