BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Josh Neer vs.
Gleison Tibau

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-9-0 Josh Neer · UFC
16-12-0 Gleison Tibau · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-9-0
UFC record
16-12-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43.4
AgeΔ 0.6 yrs
42.8
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
161.4
Layoff (months)Δ 63.2 mo
98.2
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Gleison Tibau hunts takedowns — 4.08 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Josh Neer is a submission threat — 1.30 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Gleison Tibau owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Josh Neer

Full career not yet synced for Josh Neer — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Gleison Tibau

Full career not yet synced for Gleison Tibau — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4733.15/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
6011.95/min · norm 3.42
5443.63/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
7752.51/min · norm 3.37
44.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
31.8%norm 43.5%
57.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
63.5%norm 56.3%
10.10/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.10/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Josh Neer

Distance 61.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 8.1%)

Gleison Tibau

Distance 81.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.3% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Josh Neer

Head 85.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 8.4%)

Gleison Tibau

Head 89.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Neer L/AAccWelterweight med Tibau L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 222 / 656 33.8% 38.6% 383 / 1543 24.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 139 / 219 63.5% 67.8% 99 / 151 65.6% 67.3%
On the ground 112 / 184 60.9% 67.2% 119 / 195 61.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 352 / 910 38.7% 37.2% 467 / 1698 27.5% 35.0%
To the body 72 / 90 80.0% 70.7% 91 / 143 63.6% 69.1%
To the legs 49 / 59 83.1% 82.9% 43 / 48 89.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Neer L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Tibau L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 317 / 910 34.8% 39.0% 546 / 1755 31.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 156 / 229 68.1% 68.9% 156 / 239 65.3% 68.6%
On the ground 71 / 147 48.3% 68.0% 73 / 128 57.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 357 / 1047 34.1% 35.6% 441 / 1615 27.3% 35.1%
To the body 137 / 184 74.5% 69.6% 209 / 327 63.9% 68.1%
To the legs 50 / 55 90.9% 82.1% 125 / 180 69.4% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1041.7% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
8453.5% acc · 4.08/15 · norm 1.38
2742.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
7092.1% def · norm 64.0%
32:4021.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
103:4233.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
54:525:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
35:501:44 per 15 · norm 2:46
131.30/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
170.83/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tibau has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.