BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Josh Neer vs.
Duane Ludwig

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-9-0 Josh Neer · UFC
4-5-0 Duane Ludwig · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-9-0
UFC record
4-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
43.4
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
48
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
161.4
Layoff (months)Δ 4.8 mo
166.2
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Josh Neer is a submission threat — 1.30 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Duane Ludwig rarely shoots — 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Duane Ludwig outworks the Welterweight division — 5.32 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Josh Neer

Full career not yet synced for Josh Neer — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Duane Ludwig

Full career not yet synced for Duane Ludwig — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4733.15/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3075.32/min · norm 3.17
5443.63/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2163.74/min · norm 3.06
44.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.3%norm 44.9%
57.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
58.2%norm 55.25%
10.10/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.26/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Josh Neer

Distance 61.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 8.1%)

Duane Ludwig

Distance 81.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Josh Neer

Head 85.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 8.4%)

Duane Ludwig

Head 76.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Neer L/AAccWelterweight med Ludwig L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 222 / 656 33.8% 38.6% 210 / 605 34.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 139 / 219 63.5% 67.8% 79 / 112 70.5% 67.8%
On the ground 112 / 184 60.9% 67.2% 18 / 26 69.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 352 / 910 38.7% 37.2% 183 / 566 32.3% 37.2%
To the body 72 / 90 80.0% 70.7% 99 / 145 68.3% 70.7%
To the legs 49 / 59 83.1% 82.9% 25 / 32 78.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Neer L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Ludwig L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 317 / 910 34.8% 39.0% 166 / 419 39.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 156 / 229 68.1% 68.9% 19 / 31 61.3% 68.9%
On the ground 71 / 147 48.3% 68.0% 31 / 67 46.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 357 / 1047 34.1% 35.6% 115 / 360 31.9% 35.6%
To the body 137 / 184 74.5% 69.6% 38 / 81 46.9% 69.6%
To the legs 50 / 55 90.9% 82.1% 63 / 76 82.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1041.7% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
116.7% acc · 0.26/15 · norm 1.27
2742.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1967.9% def · norm 63.9%
32:4021.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
7:2112.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
54:525:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
16:504:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
131.30/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Neer has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.