BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Josh Emmett vs.
Jeremy Stephens

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-7-0 Josh Emmett · UFC
15-20-0 (1 NC) Jeremy Stephens · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-7-0
UFC record
15-20-0 (1 NC)
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41.4
AgeΔ 1.2 yrs
40.2
5'6"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.8
Layoff (months)Δ 1.9 mo
2.9
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Josh Emmett carries real power — 0.85 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Jeremy Stephens carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Josh Emmett absorbs 4.52 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.47 Featherweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Josh Emmett

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 107
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Jeremy Stephens

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1622
Tier 3 — regional circuit 131

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-17 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7753.67/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
12813.13/min · norm 3.42
9554.52/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
13273.25/min · norm 3.37
35.8%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
40.8%norm 43.5%
59.6%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
57.9%norm 56.3%
120.85/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
180.66/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Josh Emmett

Distance 91.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 2.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.8% (norm 6.5%)

Jeremy Stephens

Distance 84.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Josh Emmett

Head 81.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 7.8%)

Jeremy Stephens

Head 77.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Emmett L/AAccFeatherweight med Stephens L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 654 / 1978 33.1% 40.9% 942 / 2637 35.7% 37.9%
In the clinch 43 / 63 68.3% 70.8% 126 / 175 72.0% 67.3%
On the ground 78 / 126 61.9% 69.2% 213 / 326 65.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 496 / 1768 28.1% 37.2% 752 / 2420 31.1% 35.0%
To the body 164 / 267 61.4% 68.2% 222 / 307 72.3% 69.1%
To the legs 115 / 132 87.1% 80.7% 307 / 411 74.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Emmett L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Stephens L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 824 / 2170 38.0% 39.2% 1035 / 2709 38.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 61 / 92 66.3% 70.3% 113 / 165 68.5% 68.6%
On the ground 70 / 102 68.6% 69.4% 179 / 278 64.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 665 / 1957 34.0% 35.9% 812 / 2468 32.9% 35.1%
To the body 145 / 229 63.3% 67.9% 238 / 349 68.2% 68.1%
To the legs 145 / 178 81.5% 81.5% 277 / 335 82.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1536.6% acc · 1.07/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
3038.5% acc · 1.10/15 · norm 1.38
743.8% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
7861.9% def · norm 64.0%
16:518.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
71:3117.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
9:340:40 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
91:283:21 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.07/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
110.40/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stephens has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.