BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Josh Culibao vs.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-1 Josh Culibao · UFC
3-3-0 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-1
UFC record
3-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
32
AgeΔ 0 yrs
32
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
73"
ReachΔ 4"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
23.6
Layoff (months)Δ 2.1 mo
25.7
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke hunts takedowns — 3.30 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Josh Culibao rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Josh Culibao

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 34
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.9 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 33
Tier 3 — regional circuit 369

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.67 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 29 finish wins over 51 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3583.41/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
1241.95/min · norm 3.54
3193.04/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
1682.64/min · norm 3.47
44.8%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
45.9%norm 45.0%
59.9%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
50.4%norm 54.85%
40.57/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
30.71/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Josh Culibao

Distance 92.6% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 6.5%)

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Distance 71.5% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.2% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 23.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Josh Culibao

Head 76.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.2% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 7.8%)

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Head 88.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 5.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Culibao L/AAccFeatherweight med Nuerdanbieke L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 318 / 741 42.9% 40.9% 75 / 193 38.9% 40.9%
In the clinch 20 / 30 66.7% 70.8% 9 / 14 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 20 / 29 69.0% 69.2% 40 / 63 63.5% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 218 / 609 35.8% 37.2% 103 / 239 43.1% 37.2%
To the body 71 / 106 67.0% 68.2% 10 / 15 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 69 / 85 81.2% 80.7% 11 / 16 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Culibao L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Nuerdanbieke L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 216 / 642 33.6% 39.2% 142 / 304 46.7% 39.2%
In the clinch 35 / 55 63.6% 70.3% 11 / 14 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 68 / 99 68.7% 69.4% 15 / 21 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 184 / 594 31.0% 35.9% 102 / 259 39.4% 35.9%
To the body 76 / 119 63.9% 67.9% 29 / 37 78.4% 67.9%
To the legs 59 / 83 71.1% 81.5% 37 / 43 86.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
1435.0% acc · 3.30/15 · norm 1.19
2165.6% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
228.6% def · norm 61.5%
6:566.6% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
31:3649.7% of cage time · norm 16.7%
33:034:43 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
7:581:52 per 15 · norm 3:12
20.29/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
10.24/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Culibao has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.