BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Josefine Knutsson vs.
Julia Polastri

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-1-0 Josefine Knutsson · UFC
2-3-0 Julia Polastri · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-1-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
30
AgeΔ 2 yrs
28
5'3"
HeightΔ 1"
5'2"
60"
ReachΔ 3"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
19.7
Layoff (months)Δ 16.3 mo
3.4
LWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Julia Polastri outworks the Women's Strawweight division — 6.22 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.77 norm.
Josefine Knutsson's takedown defense leaks — 27% stopped, vs a 64% Women's Strawweight norm.
Josefine Knutsson owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Josefine Knutsson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 31
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 1 finish wins over 10 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Julia Polastri

Full career not yet synced for Julia Polastri — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2315.13/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
4546.22/min · norm 3.77
1082.40/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
3805.21/min · norm 3.94
54.1%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
58.1%norm 44.5%
49.8%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
58.0%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Josefine Knutsson

Distance 74.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 12.9% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 12.4% (norm 5.0%)

Julia Polastri

Distance 84.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Josefine Knutsson

Head 73.3% (norm 76.4%) · Body 17.6% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 9.1%)

Julia Polastri

Head 71.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.7% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.0% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Knutsson L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Polastri L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 159 / 319 49.8% 38.3% 370 / 664 55.7% 38.3%
In the clinch 34 / 55 61.8% 72.6% 59 / 77 76.6% 72.6%
On the ground 38 / 53 71.7% 75.0% 25 / 41 61.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 313 43.8% 35.4% 269 / 558 48.2% 35.4%
To the body 59 / 75 78.7% 69.3% 122 / 154 79.2% 69.3%
To the legs 35 / 39 89.7% 77.9% 63 / 70 90.0% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Knutsson L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Polastri L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 63 / 146 43.2% 39.7% 344 / 852 40.4% 39.7%
In the clinch 14 / 22 too few to rate 71.5% 26 / 38 68.4% 71.5%
On the ground 31 / 47 66.0% 74.4% 10 / 15 too few to rate 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 70 / 154 45.5% 36.0% 227 / 692 32.8% 36.0%
To the body 27 / 45 60.0% 68.4% 101 / 154 65.6% 68.4%
To the legs 11 / 16 too few to rate 79.1% 52 / 59 88.1% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

375.0% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
375.0% acc · 0.62/15 · norm 1.10
426.7% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1661.5% def · norm 64.1%
12:4928.5% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
8:5612.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
15:315:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
16:313:23 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
10.21/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Polastri has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.