BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jose Ochoa vs.
Lone'er Kavanagh

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Jose Ochoa · UFC
3-2-0 Lone'er Kavanagh · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
3-2-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
25.6
AgeΔ 1.6 yrs
27.2
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 2 mo
0.9
WLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jose Ochoa carries real power — 0.60 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Jose Ochoa rarely shoots — 0.30 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Lone'er Kavanagh defends body shots well — opponents land just 49%, vs a 68% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jose Ochoa

Full career not yet synced for Jose Ochoa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Lone'er Kavanagh

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 20

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 12 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2595.16/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
3214.10/min · norm 3.49
1502.99/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
3083.94/min · norm 3.24
47.0%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
50.0%norm 44.6%
58.6%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
53.5%norm 56.4%
20.60/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.19/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jose Ochoa

Distance 92.2% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 7.3%)

Lone'er Kavanagh

Distance 85.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 8.6% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jose Ochoa

Head 56.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 27.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 16.0% (norm 9.3%)

Lone'er Kavanagh

Head 70.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ochoa L/AAccFlyweight med Kavanagh L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 230 / 508 45.3% 40.0% 258 / 550 46.9% 40.0%
In the clinch 21 / 30 70.0% 70.4% 25 / 37 67.6% 70.4%
On the ground 8 / 13 too few to rate 69.7% 38 / 55 69.1% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 118 / 313 37.7% 37.6% 184 / 451 40.8% 37.6%
To the body 78 / 150 52.0% 68.5% 79 / 112 70.5% 68.5%
To the legs 63 / 88 71.6% 80.0% 58 / 79 73.4% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ochoa L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Kavanagh L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 132 / 324 40.7% 40.1% 238 / 575 41.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 10 / 17 too few to rate 68.8% 30 / 39 76.9% 68.8%
On the ground 8 / 21 too few to rate 71.1% 40 / 49 81.6% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 66 / 216 30.6% 35.2% 188 / 473 39.7% 35.2%
To the body 43 / 92 46.7% 68.2% 47 / 96 49.0% 68.2%
To the legs 41 / 54 75.9% 80.3% 73 / 94 77.7% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

125.0% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
646.2% acc · 1.15/15 · norm 1.30
1965.5% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1982.6% def · norm 62.5%
2:545.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
9:4112.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
12:153:39 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
14:172:44 per 15 · norm 2:44
30.90/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
20.38/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kavanagh has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.