BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jorge Rivera vs.
Lee Murray

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-7-0 Jorge Rivera · UFC
1-0-0 Lee Murray · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-7-0
UFC record
1-0-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
54
AgeΔ 6 yrs
48
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
73"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
174.5
Layoff (months)Δ 95.7 mo
270.2
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
W
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Lee Murray is a submission threat — 17.14 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Jorge Rivera carries real power — 1.04 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Lee Murray rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jorge Rivera

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 3 — regional circuit 112

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.92 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Lee Murray

Full career not yet synced for Lee Murray — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3783.27/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
00.00/min · norm 3.25
2802.42/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
21.14/min · norm 3.20
49.7%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
0.0%norm 47.4%
57.1%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
50.0%norm 53.8%
81.04/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jorge Rivera

Distance 45.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 33.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 21.7% (norm 10.3%)

Lee Murray

Distance 100.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jorge Rivera

Head 78.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Lee Murray

Head 100.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 0.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rivera L/AAccMiddleweight med Murray L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 114 / 343 33.2% 40.5% 0 / 1 too few to rate 40.5%
In the clinch 165 / 253 65.2% 70.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 99 / 165 60.0% 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 243 / 594 40.9% 38.9% 0 / 1 too few to rate 38.9%
To the body 86 / 104 82.7% 71.7% 0 / 0 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 49 / 63 77.8% 83.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rivera L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Murray L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 96 / 329 29.2% 39.5% 0 / 1 too few to rate 39.5%
In the clinch 132 / 238 55.5% 70.9% 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 52 / 86 60.5% 69.0% 1 / 2 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 175 / 519 33.7% 37.9% 1 / 3 too few to rate 37.9%
To the body 60 / 82 73.2% 71.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 45 / 52 86.5% 82.1% 1 / 1 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

750.0% acc · 0.91/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
2764.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
150.0% def · norm 63.1%
38:5233.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
35:214:35 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
1:2812:34 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.13/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
217.14/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rivera has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.