BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jordan Rinaldi vs.
Arnold Allen

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 Jordan Rinaldi · UFC
12-3-0 Arnold Allen · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0
UFC record
12-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
38
AgeΔ 6 yrs
32
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
88.7
Layoff (months)Δ 86 mo
2.7
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jordan Rinaldi is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Jordan Rinaldi's takedown defense leaks — 20% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Arnold Allen is wasteful with clinch strikes — only 50% land, vs a 71% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jordan Rinaldi

Full career not yet synced for Jordan Rinaldi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Arnold Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 123
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.69 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

811.56/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
7653.52/min · norm 3.54
1202.32/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6843.15/min · norm 3.47
35.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.0%norm 45.0%
59.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
60.2%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.28/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jordan Rinaldi

Distance 88.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 8.0%)

Arnold Allen

Distance 92.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jordan Rinaldi

Head 68.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 19.6% (norm 7.9%)

Arnold Allen

Head 82.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.0% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rinaldi L/AAccLightweight med Allen L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 68 / 203 33.5% 37.9% 681 / 1606 42.4% 40.9%
In the clinch 1 / 4 too few to rate 67.3% 30 / 60 50.0% 70.8%
On the ground 12 / 23 too few to rate 69.1% 54 / 73 74.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 39 / 158 24.7% 35.0% 562 / 1438 39.1% 37.2%
To the body 11 / 27 40.7% 69.1% 138 / 209 66.0% 68.2%
To the legs 31 / 45 68.9% 81.9% 65 / 92 70.7% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rinaldi L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Allen L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 75 / 227 33.0% 38.9% 615 / 1617 38.0% 39.2%
In the clinch 8 / 14 too few to rate 68.6% 52 / 80 65.0% 70.3%
On the ground 37 / 54 68.5% 68.0% 17 / 22 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 92 / 253 36.4% 35.1% 378 / 1305 29.0% 35.9%
To the body 21 / 29 72.4% 68.1% 166 / 245 67.8% 67.9%
To the legs 7 / 13 too few to rate 81.5% 140 / 169 82.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

535.7% acc · 1.45/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1860.0% acc · 1.24/15 · norm 1.19
120.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
5773.1% def · norm 61.5%
15:5930.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
32:0314.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
8:582:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
28:311:58 per 15 · norm 3:12
41.16/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
40.28/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Allen has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.