BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jonathan Martinez vs.
Cub Swanson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-5-0 Jonathan Martinez · UFC
16-10-0 Cub Swanson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-5-0
UFC record
16-10-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
32.3
AgeΔ 10.5 yrs
42.8
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
20.6
Layoff (months)Δ 16.8 mo
3.8
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jonathan Martinez carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Cub Swanson carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Jonathan Martinez rarely shoots — 0.38 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jonathan Martinez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Cub Swanson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1610
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.93 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8874.44/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
16455.30/min · norm 3.54
8174.09/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
13804.44/min · norm 3.47
49.6%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
52.6%norm 45.0%
57.0%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.5%norm 54.85%
90.68/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
120.58/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jonathan Martinez

Distance 88.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 7.0% (norm 6.5%)

Cub Swanson

Distance 88.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jonathan Martinez

Head 70.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 15.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.8% (norm 8.4%)

Cub Swanson

Head 72.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Martinez L/AAccBantamweight med Swanson L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 731 / 1590 46.0% 39.0% 1363 / 2764 49.3% 40.9%
In the clinch 62 / 74 83.8% 68.7% 160 / 199 80.4% 70.8%
On the ground 94 / 125 75.2% 70.2% 122 / 166 73.5% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 494 / 1257 39.3% 34.9% 992 / 2281 43.5% 37.2%
To the body 194 / 285 68.1% 66.8% 323 / 432 74.8% 68.2%
To the legs 199 / 247 80.6% 79.4% 330 / 416 79.3% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Martinez L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Swanson L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 700 / 1741 40.2% 39.3% 1129 / 2932 38.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 99 / 133 74.4% 70.4% 127 / 193 65.8% 70.3%
On the ground 18 / 25 72.0% 72.4% 124 / 204 60.8% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 377 / 1361 27.7% 34.9% 885 / 2628 33.7% 35.9%
To the body 260 / 345 75.4% 66.0% 247 / 370 66.8% 67.9%
To the legs 180 / 193 93.3% 79.1% 248 / 331 74.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

535.7% acc · 0.38/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1451.9% acc · 0.68/15 · norm 1.19
2668.4% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
8272.6% def · norm 61.5%
28:0514.1% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
22:527.4% of cage time · norm 16.7%
18:031:21 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
58:402:50 per 15 · norm 3:12
10.08/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
20.10/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Swanson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.