BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jon Madsen vs.
Justin Wren

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-1-0 Jon Madsen · UFC
0-1-0 Justin Wren · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-1-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
46.5
AgeΔ 7.2 yrs
39.3
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
72"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
184.4
Layoff (months)Δ 15.6 mo
200
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
L
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Justin Wren rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Justin Wren is wasteful with head shots — only 4% land, vs a 39% Heavyweight norm.
Jon Madsen defends head shots well — opponents land just 10%, vs a 39% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jon Madsen

Full career not yet synced for Jon Madsen — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Justin Wren

Full career not yet synced for Justin Wren — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1402.46/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
171.13/min · norm 3.36
671.18/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
261.73/min · norm 3.19
41.1%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
10.7%norm 47.8%
81.4%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
74.0%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jon Madsen

Distance 76.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 11.7% (norm 9.3%)

Justin Wren

Distance 92.5% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jon Madsen

Head 85.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 7.6%)

Justin Wren

Head 87.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 1.9% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Madsen L/AAccHeavyweight med Wren L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 80 / 260 30.8% 40.1% 12 / 147 8.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 34 / 41 82.9% 70.6% 5 / 12 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 26 / 40 65.0% 70.2% 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 100 / 293 34.1% 38.9% 5 / 139 3.6% 38.9%
To the body 18 / 23 too few to rate 76.8% 9 / 17 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 22 / 25 88.0% 87.8% 3 / 3 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Madsen L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Wren L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 47 / 328 14.3% 40.7% 23 / 95 24.2% 40.7%
In the clinch 20 / 32 62.5% 70.6% 3 / 5 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 30 / 309 9.7% 38.8% 20 / 93 21.5% 38.8%
To the body 23 / 37 62.2% 75.1% 6 / 7 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 14 / 14 too few to rate 84.4% 0 / 0 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

571.4% acc · 1.32/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
770.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 64.3%
10:4018.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
0:161.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
3:511:01 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
0:000:00 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Madsen has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.