BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jon Jones vs.
Thiago Santos

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

22-1-0 (1 NC) Jon Jones · UFC
14-10-0 Thiago Santos · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

22-1-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
14-10-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
39
AgeΔ 3.6 yrs
42.6
6'4"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
84"
ReachΔ 8"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
20.6
Layoff (months)Δ 27.4 mo
48
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Santos carries real power — 0.88 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Jon Jones hunts takedowns — 1.89 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Jon Jones is a submission threat — 0.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jon Jones

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 221
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.19 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 21-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.9 wins over .500

Thiago Santos

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Santos — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15644.38/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
8883.72/min · norm 3.25
7982.24/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
6142.57/min · norm 3.20
58.9%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
48.2%norm 47.4%
64.1%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 53.8%
60.25/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
140.88/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jon Jones

Distance 72.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 14.7% (norm 10.4%)

Thiago Santos

Distance 69.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 20.5% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jon Jones

Head 60.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 18.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 21.3% (norm 9.7%)

Thiago Santos

Head 65.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 17.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Jones L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Santos L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1012 / 1918 52.8% 41.4% 512 / 1285 39.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 250 / 346 72.3% 70.9% 150 / 181 82.9% 70.3%
On the ground 302 / 391 77.2% 72.3% 226 / 378 59.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 759 / 1595 47.6% 38.9% 455 / 1216 37.4% 38.9%
To the body 375 / 494 75.9% 71.9% 204 / 309 66.0% 71.7%
To the legs 430 / 566 76.0% 81.8% 229 / 319 71.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Jones L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Santos L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 637 / 1921 33.2% 40.4% 417 / 1085 38.4% 39.5%
In the clinch 154 / 289 53.3% 68.7% 87 / 110 79.1% 70.9%
On the ground 7 / 12 too few to rate 70.4% 110 / 138 79.7% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 385 / 1573 24.5% 37.5% 330 / 914 36.1% 37.9%
To the body 217 / 367 59.1% 72.3% 141 / 215 65.6% 71.3%
To the legs 196 / 282 69.5% 83.0% 143 / 204 70.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4545.9% acc · 1.89/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1433.3% acc · 0.88/15 · norm 1.42
3895.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3865.5% def · norm 63.1%
84:3223.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
31:3813.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
6:330:16 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
39:232:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
110.46/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
10.06/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jones has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.