BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jon Jones vs.
Jake O'Brien

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

22-1-0 (1 NC) Jon Jones · UFC
4-3-0 Jake O'Brien · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

22-1-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
4-3-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
39
AgeΔ 2.9 yrs
41.9
6'4"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
84"
ReachΔ 8"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
20.6
Layoff (months)Δ 184.2 mo
204.8
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake O'Brien hunts takedowns — 6.44 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Jake O'Brien owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Jon Jones hunts takedowns — 1.89 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jon Jones

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 221
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.19 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 21-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.9 wins over .500

Jake O'Brien

Full career not yet synced for Jake O'Brien — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15644.38/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
921.32/min · norm 3.36
7982.24/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1351.93/min · norm 3.19
58.9%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
31.8%norm 47.8%
64.1%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
69.2%norm 52.5%
60.25/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.21/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jon Jones

Distance 72.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 14.7% (norm 10.4%)

Jake O'Brien

Distance 59.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 36.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jon Jones

Head 60.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 18.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 21.3% (norm 9.7%)

Jake O'Brien

Head 99.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Jones L/AAccLight Heavyweight med O'Brien L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1012 / 1918 52.8% 41.4% 32 / 173 18.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 250 / 346 72.3% 70.9% 6 / 12 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 302 / 391 77.2% 72.3% 54 / 104 51.9% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 759 / 1595 47.6% 38.9% 89 / 286 31.1% 38.9%
To the body 375 / 494 75.9% 71.9% 3 / 3 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 430 / 566 76.0% 81.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Jones L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs O'Brien L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 637 / 1921 33.2% 40.4% 92 / 377 24.4% 40.7%
In the clinch 154 / 289 53.3% 68.7% 6 / 15 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 7 / 12 too few to rate 70.4% 37 / 46 80.4% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 385 / 1573 24.5% 37.5% 85 / 364 23.4% 38.8%
To the body 217 / 367 59.1% 72.3% 15 / 25 60.0% 75.1%
To the legs 196 / 282 69.5% 83.0% 35 / 49 71.4% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4545.9% acc · 1.89/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
3056.6% acc · 6.44/15 · norm 0.95
3895.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
125.0% def · norm 64.3%
84:3223.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
35:0250.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
6:330:16 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
5:391:12 per 15 · norm 2:28
110.46/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
10.21/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jones has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.