BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jon Fitch vs.
Brock Larson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-3-1 Jon Fitch · UFC
3-3-0 Brock Larson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-3-1
UFC record
3-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
48
AgeΔ 0 yrs
48
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
162.1
Layoff (months)Δ 38.4 mo
200.5
LWLDW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Brock Larson is a submission threat — 1.79 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Jon Fitch owns the mat — in control 54% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Jon Fitch hunts takedowns — 3.64 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jon Fitch

Full career not yet synced for Jon Fitch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Brock Larson

Full career not yet synced for Brock Larson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6302.64/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
701.20/min · norm 3.17
3711.55/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
971.66/min · norm 3.06
51.4%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
46.1%norm 44.9%
53.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.3%norm 55.25%
20.13/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jon Fitch

Distance 44.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 18.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 37.1% (norm 8.1%)

Brock Larson

Distance 47.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 27.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 25.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jon Fitch

Head 77.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 8.4%)

Brock Larson

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Fitch L/AAccWelterweight med Larson L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 186 / 540 34.4% 38.6% 20 / 72 27.8% 38.6%
In the clinch 136 / 231 58.9% 67.8% 25 / 41 61.0% 67.8%
On the ground 308 / 454 67.8% 67.2% 25 / 39 64.1% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 414 / 945 43.8% 37.2% 48 / 126 38.1% 37.2%
To the body 129 / 169 76.3% 70.7% 11 / 14 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 87 / 111 78.4% 82.9% 11 / 12 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Fitch L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Larson L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 171 / 517 33.1% 39.0% 26 / 97 26.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 125 / 177 70.6% 68.9% 18 / 34 52.9% 68.9%
On the ground 75 / 107 70.1% 68.0% 53 / 86 61.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 211 / 604 34.9% 35.6% 57 / 166 34.3% 35.6%
To the body 69 / 96 71.9% 69.6% 19 / 25 76.0% 69.6%
To the legs 91 / 101 90.1% 82.1% 21 / 26 80.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

5854.7% acc · 3.64/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
930.0% acc · 2.31/15 · norm 1.27
3355.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1043.5% def · norm 63.9%
128:2653.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
18:2031.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
55:033:27 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
24:536:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
140.88/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
71.79/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Fitch has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.