BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Johny Hendricks vs.
Paulo Costa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-8-0 Johny Hendricks · UFC
8-4-0 Paulo Costa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-8-0
UFC record
8-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
42
AgeΔ 7 yrs
35
5'9"
HeightΔ 4"
6'1"
69"
ReachΔ 3"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
105.1
Layoff (months)Δ 101.2 mo
3.9
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Johny Hendricks hunts takedowns — 3.67 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Paulo Costa outworks the Middleweight division — 6.15 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Paulo Costa absorbs 5.96 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Johny Hendricks

Full career not yet synced for Johny Hendricks — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Paulo Costa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.48 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8853.55/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
9346.15/min · norm 3.25
9793.93/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
9045.96/min · norm 3.20
45.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
59.3%norm 47.4%
53.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
49.4%norm 53.8%
60.36/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
60.59/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Johny Hendricks

Distance 79.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.1%)

Paulo Costa

Distance 90.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Johny Hendricks

Head 81.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 5.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.2% (norm 8.4%)

Paulo Costa

Head 61.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 29.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hendricks L/AAccWelterweight med Costa L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 605 / 1542 39.2% 38.6% 826 / 1430 57.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 208 / 297 70.0% 67.8% 49 / 62 79.0% 70.3%
On the ground 72 / 99 72.7% 67.2% 59 / 84 70.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 584 / 1577 37.0% 37.2% 422 / 966 43.7% 38.9%
To the body 77 / 105 73.3% 70.7% 379 / 460 82.4% 71.7%
To the legs 224 / 256 87.5% 82.9% 133 / 150 88.7% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hendricks L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Costa L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 720 / 1736 41.5% 39.0% 836 / 1695 49.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 189 / 286 66.1% 68.9% 58 / 80 72.5% 70.9%
On the ground 70 / 78 89.7% 68.0% 10 / 12 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 620 / 1627 38.1% 35.6% 588 / 1359 43.3% 37.9%
To the body 256 / 349 73.4% 69.6% 195 / 293 66.6% 71.3%
To the legs 103 / 124 83.1% 82.1% 121 / 135 89.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6150.0% acc · 3.67/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.42
2767.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2177.8% def · norm 63.1%
80:1832.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
8:245.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
21:291:17 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
6:210:37 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.36/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hendricks has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.