BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

John Moraga vs.
John Dodson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-6-0 John Moraga · UFC
10-7-0 John Dodson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-6-0
UFC record
10-7-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
42
AgeΔ 1 yrs
41
5'6"
HeightΔ 3"
5'3"
66"
ReachΔ 0"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
95.4
Layoff (months)Δ 23.7 mo
71.7
LWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

John Dodson carries real power — 0.71 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
John Moraga is a submission threat — 1.07 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
John Moraga rarely shoots — 0.62 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

John Moraga

Full career not yet synced for John Moraga — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

John Dodson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 129
Tier 3 — regional circuit 126

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.83 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 39 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4332.57/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
7423.20/min · norm 3.52
4292.55/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
8283.58/min · norm 3.58
43.5%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
40.7%norm 43.4%
56.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
61.6%norm 56.6%
20.18/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
110.71/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

John Moraga

Distance 77.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 11.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 7.3%)

John Dodson

Distance 91.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 1.9% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

John Moraga

Head 72.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 9.3%)

John Dodson

Head 77.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Moraga L/AAccFlyweight med Dodson L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 254 / 769 33.0% 40.0% 631 / 1664 37.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 82 / 113 72.6% 70.4% 84 / 123 68.3% 68.7%
On the ground 97 / 113 85.8% 69.7% 27 / 35 77.1% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 242 / 719 33.7% 37.6% 414 / 1412 29.3% 34.9%
To the body 109 / 170 64.1% 68.5% 223 / 293 76.1% 66.8%
To the legs 82 / 106 77.4% 80.0% 105 / 117 89.7% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Moraga L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Dodson L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 278 / 778 35.7% 40.1% 640 / 1907 33.6% 39.3%
In the clinch 52 / 81 64.2% 68.8% 178 / 235 75.7% 70.4%
On the ground 99 / 126 78.6% 71.1% 10 / 12 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 220 / 707 31.1% 35.2% 471 / 1568 30.0% 34.9%
To the body 99 / 147 67.3% 68.2% 197 / 361 54.6% 66.0%
To the legs 110 / 131 84.0% 80.3% 160 / 225 71.1% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

723.3% acc · 0.62/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
1128.9% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.12
2944.6% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
7482.2% def · norm 66.7%
24:2614.5% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
11:285.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
53:354:46 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
19:091:14 per 15 · norm 2:24
121.07/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dodson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.