BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

John Lineker vs.
Ali Bagautinov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-4-0 John Lineker · UFC
4-3-0 Ali Bagautinov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-4-0
UFC record
4-3-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
36.1
AgeΔ 5.1 yrs
41.2
5'3"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
67"
ReachΔ 2"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
87.3
Layoff (months)Δ 29.2 mo
116.5
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

John Lineker carries real power — 0.96 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
John Lineker is a submission threat — 0.64 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Ali Bagautinov hunts takedowns — 2.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

John Lineker

Full career not yet synced for John Lineker — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Ali Bagautinov

Full career not yet synced for Ali Bagautinov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10105.36/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
3232.85/min · norm 3.49
8054.27/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
3513.09/min · norm 3.24
40.2%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 44.6%
56.1%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
52.4%norm 56.4%
120.96/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
20.26/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

John Lineker

Distance 87.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.2% (norm 6.5%)

Ali Bagautinov

Distance 70.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 12.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 16.7% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

John Lineker

Head 69.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 25.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 8.4%)

Ali Bagautinov

Head 75.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lineker L/AAccBantamweight med Bagautinov L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 833 / 2199 37.9% 39.0% 166 / 537 30.9% 40.0%
In the clinch 78 / 159 49.1% 68.7% 64 / 97 66.0% 70.4%
On the ground 99 / 156 63.5% 70.2% 93 / 127 73.2% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 562 / 1747 32.2% 34.9% 182 / 573 31.8% 37.6%
To the body 360 / 632 57.0% 66.8% 104 / 135 77.0% 68.5%
To the legs 88 / 135 65.2% 79.4% 37 / 53 69.8% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lineker L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Bagautinov L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 666 / 1612 41.3% 39.3% 193 / 537 35.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 48 / 92 52.2% 70.4% 131 / 169 77.5% 68.8%
On the ground 91 / 131 69.5% 72.4% 27 / 31 87.1% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 525 / 1434 36.6% 34.9% 188 / 507 37.1% 35.2%
To the body 151 / 244 61.9% 66.0% 88 / 130 67.7% 68.2%
To the legs 129 / 157 82.2% 79.1% 75 / 100 75.0% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

758.3% acc · 0.56/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1936.5% acc · 2.51/15 · norm 1.30
4067.8% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1365.0% def · norm 62.5%
11:015.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
31:5028.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
24:521:58 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
10:591:27 per 15 · norm 2:44
80.64/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
20.26/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lineker has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.