BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

John Howard vs.
Jake Ellenberger

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-7-0 John Howard · UFC
10-11-0 Jake Ellenberger · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-7-0
UFC record
10-11-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
43.4
AgeΔ 2 yrs
41.4
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
127.9
Layoff (months)Δ 32.5 mo
95.4
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake Ellenberger carries real power — 0.98 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
John Howard hunts takedowns — 2.70 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Jake Ellenberger hunts takedowns — 2.04 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

John Howard

Full career not yet synced for John Howard — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Jake Ellenberger

Full career not yet synced for Jake Ellenberger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3692.15/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
4172.47/min · norm 3.17
5293.08/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4782.83/min · norm 3.06
50.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.3%norm 44.9%
51.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
60.7%norm 55.25%
20.17/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
110.98/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

John Howard

Distance 68.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 23.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.1%)

Jake Ellenberger

Distance 74.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

John Howard

Head 66.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 20.4% (norm 8.4%)

Jake Ellenberger

Head 86.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Howard L/AAccWelterweight med Ellenberger L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 222 / 494 44.9% 38.6% 259 / 791 32.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 99 / 167 59.3% 67.8% 83 / 129 64.3% 67.8%
On the ground 48 / 66 72.7% 67.2% 75 / 140 53.6% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 175 / 483 36.2% 37.2% 307 / 912 33.7% 37.2%
To the body 68 / 96 70.8% 70.7% 72 / 101 71.3% 70.7%
To the legs 126 / 148 85.1% 82.9% 38 / 47 80.9% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Howard L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Ellenberger L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 311 / 772 40.3% 39.0% 338 / 1002 33.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 128 / 175 73.1% 68.9% 73 / 112 65.2% 68.9%
On the ground 90 / 137 65.7% 68.0% 67 / 102 65.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 262 / 742 35.3% 35.6% 314 / 986 31.8% 35.6%
To the body 152 / 198 76.8% 69.6% 88 / 137 64.2% 69.6%
To the legs 115 / 144 79.9% 82.1% 76 / 93 81.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3149.2% acc · 2.70/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2347.9% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.27
2953.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2586.2% def · norm 63.9%
45:1326.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
34:4320.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
51:224:28 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
19:501:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.44/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.36/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ellenberger has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.