BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

John Howard vs.
Daniel Roberts

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-7-0 John Howard · UFC
3-4-0 Daniel Roberts · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-7-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
43.4
AgeΔ 2.6 yrs
46
5'7"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
127.8
Layoff (months)Δ 46.7 mo
174.5
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Daniel Roberts is a submission threat — 2.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
John Howard hunts takedowns — 2.70 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Daniel Roberts hunts takedowns — 2.46 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

John Howard

Full career not yet synced for John Howard — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Daniel Roberts

Full career not yet synced for Daniel Roberts — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3692.15/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
490.73/min · norm 3.17
5293.08/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1522.27/min · norm 3.06
50.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
20.4%norm 44.9%
51.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
46.1%norm 55.25%
20.17/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

John Howard

Distance 68.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 23.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.1%)

Daniel Roberts

Distance 88.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

John Howard

Head 66.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 20.4% (norm 8.4%)

Daniel Roberts

Head 83.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Howard L/AAccWelterweight med Roberts L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 222 / 494 44.9% 38.6% 34 / 212 16.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 99 / 167 59.3% 67.8% 7 / 10 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 48 / 66 72.7% 67.2% 8 / 18 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 175 / 483 36.2% 37.2% 26 / 200 13.0% 37.2%
To the body 68 / 96 70.8% 70.7% 16 / 24 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 126 / 148 85.1% 82.9% 7 / 16 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Howard L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Roberts L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 311 / 772 40.3% 39.0% 67 / 165 40.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 128 / 175 73.1% 68.9% 27 / 44 61.4% 68.9%
On the ground 90 / 137 65.7% 68.0% 58 / 73 79.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 262 / 742 35.3% 35.6% 76 / 197 38.6% 35.6%
To the body 152 / 198 76.8% 69.6% 40 / 48 83.3% 69.6%
To the legs 115 / 144 79.9% 82.1% 36 / 37 97.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3149.2% acc · 2.70/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1144.0% acc · 2.46/15 · norm 1.27
2953.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
640.0% def · norm 63.9%
45:1326.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
15:4323.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
51:224:28 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
26:205:53 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.44/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
112.46/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Howard has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.