John Dowdy vs.
Guy Mezger
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
John Dowdy
Full career not yet synced for John Dowdy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
Guy Mezger
Full career not yet synced for Guy Mezger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
John Dowdy
Distance 100.0% (norm 50.2%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 14.9%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 28.7%)
Guy Mezger
Distance 33.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 24.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 41.8% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
John Dowdy
Head 0.0% (norm 81.2%) · Body 50.0% (norm 8.0%) · Legs 50.0% (norm 5.2%)
Guy Mezger
Head 81.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.9% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Dowdy L/A | Acc | Open Weight med | Mezger L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 0 / 4 | too few to rate | 27.8% | 17 / 37 | 45.9% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 63.8% | 20 / 27 | 74.1% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 65.8% | 31 / 46 | 67.4% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 39.3% | 49 / 90 | 54.4% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 0 / 2 | too few to rate | 90.5% | 8 / 8 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 0 / 2 | too few to rate | 53.5% | 11 / 12 | too few to rate | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Open Weight: 11 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Dowdy L/A | Opp acc | Open Weight med | vs Mezger L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 2 / 5 | too few to rate | 37.0% | 5 / 35 | 14.3% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 66.7% | 6 / 16 | too few to rate | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 8 / 10 | too few to rate | 67.1% | 32 / 42 | 76.2% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 10 / 15 | too few to rate | 47.0% | 35 / 76 | 46.1% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 87.9% | 6 / 10 | too few to rate | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 61.2% | 2 / 7 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mezger has more cage time on record.