BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

John Cofer vs.
Justin Lawrence

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 John Cofer · UFC
1-2-0 Justin Lawrence · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
42
AgeΔ 6 yrs
36
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
Reach
67"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
163.7
Layoff (months)Δ 3.9 mo
159.8
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Justin Lawrence carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Justin Lawrence is wasteful with body shots — only 38% land, vs a 68% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

John Cofer

Full career not yet synced for John Cofer — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Justin Lawrence

Full career not yet synced for Justin Lawrence — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

672.73/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
863.96/min · norm 3.54
843.43/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
663.04/min · norm 3.47
41.9%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
34.8%norm 45.0%
62.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
70.9%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.69/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

John Cofer

Distance 85.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 8.0%)

Justin Lawrence

Distance 93.9% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

John Cofer

Head 76.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Justin Lawrence

Head 85.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cofer L/AAccLightweight med Lawrence L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 51 / 137 37.2% 37.9% 78 / 232 33.6% 40.9%
In the clinch 12 / 19 too few to rate 67.3% 5 / 7 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 4 / 4 too few to rate 69.1% 3 / 8 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 39 / 123 31.7% 35.0% 70 / 210 33.3% 37.2%
To the body 20 / 27 74.1% 69.1% 11 / 29 37.9% 68.2%
To the legs 8 / 10 too few to rate 81.9% 5 / 8 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cofer L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Lawrence L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 65 / 192 33.9% 38.9% 54 / 202 26.7% 39.2%
In the clinch 15 / 20 too few to rate 68.6% 6 / 9 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 4 / 10 too few to rate 68.0% 6 / 16 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 59 / 188 31.4% 35.1% 38 / 188 20.2% 35.9%
To the body 13 / 19 too few to rate 68.1% 20 / 30 66.7% 67.9%
To the legs 12 / 15 too few to rate 81.5% 8 / 9 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

250.0% acc · 1.22/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
228.6% acc · 1.38/15 · norm 1.19
964.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
342.9% def · norm 61.5%
3:5415.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
1:024.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
6:464:08 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
2:151:33 per 15 · norm 3:12
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lawrence has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.