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John Castaneda vs. Muin Gafurov

UFC 4-5-1 vs. 2-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-5-1
UFC record
2-3-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
34
AgeΔ 4 yrs
30
5'6"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
68"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
0.8
Layoff (months)Δ 7.6 mo
8.4
LDLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
John Castaneda carries real power — 0.46 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Bantamweight norm.
John Castaneda outworks the Bantamweight division — 5.00 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.52 norm.
Muin Gafurov is hard to hit — absorbs 2.35 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.58 Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

John Castaneda

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 143

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Muin Gafurov

Full career not yet synced for Muin Gafurov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6545.00/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
2253.68/min · norm 3.52
6635.07/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1442.35/min · norm 3.58
51.9%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
47.0%norm 43.5%
54.7%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
59.4%norm 56.6%
40.46/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.25/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

John Castaneda

Distance 93.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.4% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 2.1% (norm 6.4%)

Muin Gafurov

Distance 83.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

John Castaneda

Head 69.0% (norm 77.5%) · Body 12.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 18.3% (norm 8.4%)

Muin Gafurov

Head 74.5% (norm 77.5%) · Body 17.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Castaneda L/AAccBantamweight med Gafurov L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 595 / 1179 50.5% 39.2% 173 / 402 43.0% 39.2%
In the clinch 38 / 55 69.1% 69.0% 35 / 52 67.3% 69.0%
On the ground 21 / 27 77.8% 70.2% 17 / 25 68.0% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 363 / 870 41.7% 35.3% 135 / 357 37.8% 35.3%
To the body 102 / 160 63.8% 66.9% 64 / 85 75.3% 66.9%
To the legs 189 / 231 81.8% 79.2% 26 / 37 70.3% 79.2%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 121 fighters · Bantamweight: 121 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Castaneda L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Gafurov L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 590 / 1353 43.6% 39.4% 125 / 330 37.9% 39.4%
In the clinch 67 / 101 66.3% 70.6% 11 / 15 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 6 / 10 too few to rate 72.1% 8 / 10 too few to rate 72.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 415 / 1134 36.6% 34.9% 73 / 241 30.3% 34.9%
To the body 121 / 171 70.8% 66.1% 48 / 79 60.8% 66.1%
To the legs 127 / 159 79.9% 78.8% 23 / 35 65.7% 78.8%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1139.3% acc · 1.26/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
318.8% acc · 0.74/15 · norm 1.12
2374.2% def · norm 65.7%
Takedowns stopped
1266.7% def · norm 65.7%
19:2014.8% of cage time · norm 17.8%
Control time
13:0121.3% of cage time · norm 17.8%
10:011:08 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control lower is better
15:293:47 per 15 · norm 2:24
30.34/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Castaneda has more cage time on record.