BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

John Castaneda vs.
Chris Gutierrez

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-1 John Castaneda · UFC
10-4-1 Chris Gutierrez · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-1
UFC record
10-4-1
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
34
AgeΔ 1 yrs
35
5'6"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
71"
ReachΔ 4"
67"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
3.6
Layoff (months)Δ 6.5 mo
10.1
DLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

John Castaneda carries real power — 0.52 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Chris Gutierrez rarely shoots — 0.30 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
John Castaneda absorbs 5.48 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.58 Bantamweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

John Castaneda

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 143

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Chris Gutierrez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 114
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 93

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5995.17/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
8954.40/min · norm 3.52
6355.48/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
5392.65/min · norm 3.58
51.6%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
57.6%norm 43.4%
52.9%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
63.4%norm 56.6%
40.52/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
60.44/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

John Castaneda

Distance 92.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 6.5%)

Chris Gutierrez

Distance 95.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

John Castaneda

Head 69.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.7% (norm 8.4%)

Chris Gutierrez

Head 51.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 37.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Castaneda L/AAccBantamweight med Gutierrez L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 540 / 1078 50.1% 39.0% 852 / 1491 57.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 38 / 55 69.1% 68.7% 17 / 27 63.0% 68.7%
On the ground 21 / 27 77.8% 70.2% 26 / 37 70.3% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 341 / 810 42.1% 34.9% 339 / 802 42.3% 34.9%
To the body 94 / 145 64.8% 66.8% 101 / 166 60.8% 66.8%
To the legs 164 / 205 80.0% 79.4% 455 / 587 77.5% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Castaneda L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Gutierrez L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 563 / 1240 45.4% 39.3% 453 / 1341 33.8% 39.3%
In the clinch 67 / 100 67.0% 70.4% 13 / 20 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 5 / 9 too few to rate 72.4% 73 / 112 65.2% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 396 / 1031 38.4% 34.9% 266 / 1029 25.9% 34.9%
To the body 117 / 164 71.3% 66.0% 116 / 212 54.7% 66.0%
To the legs 122 / 154 79.2% 79.1% 157 / 232 67.7% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1139.3% acc · 1.42/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
430.8% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.12
1878.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3867.9% def · norm 66.7%
18:5516.3% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
8:594.4% of cage time · norm 17.4%
5:590:46 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
46:063:24 per 15 · norm 2:24
10.13/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.07/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gutierrez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.