BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

John Alessio vs.
Shane Roller

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-5-0 John Alessio · UFC
2-4-0 Shane Roller · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-5-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
47.1
AgeΔ 0 yrs
47.1
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 0"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
169
Layoff (months)Δ 3 mo
166
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

John Alessio rarely shoots — 0.45 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
John Alessio is a submission threat — 0.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Shane Roller is wasteful with body shots — only 39% land, vs a 69% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

John Alessio

Full career not yet synced for John Alessio — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Shane Roller

Full career not yet synced for Shane Roller — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

991.48/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1242.32/min · norm 3.42
1862.79/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1703.18/min · norm 3.37
29.9%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
35.7%norm 43.5%
53.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.4%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.28/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

John Alessio

Distance 90.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 1.2% (norm 8.1%)

Shane Roller

Distance 84.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

John Alessio

Head 91.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.4% (norm 8.4%)

Shane Roller

Head 84.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alessio L/AAccWelterweight med Roller L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 299 27.4% 38.6% 79 / 294 26.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 15 / 28 53.6% 67.8% 9 / 13 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 2 / 4 too few to rate 67.2% 36 / 40 90.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 80 / 303 26.4% 37.2% 93 / 294 31.6% 35.0%
To the body 11 / 20 too few to rate 70.7% 13 / 33 39.4% 69.1%
To the legs 8 / 8 too few to rate 82.9% 18 / 20 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alessio L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Roller L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 92 / 285 32.3% 39.0% 123 / 369 33.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 36 / 46 78.3% 68.9% 29 / 36 80.6% 68.6%
On the ground 58 / 72 80.6% 68.0% 18 / 35 51.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 114 / 310 36.8% 35.6% 122 / 369 33.1% 35.1%
To the body 17 / 27 63.0% 69.6% 23 / 41 56.1% 68.1%
To the legs 55 / 66 83.3% 82.1% 25 / 30 83.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

218.2% acc · 0.45/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
521.7% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.38
2569.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
444.4% def · norm 64.0%
6:289.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
14:4927.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
28:226:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
13:253:45 per 15 · norm 2:46
30.67/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.56/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Roller has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.