BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joey Beltran vs.
Aaron Rosa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-6-0 (1 NC) Joey Beltran · UFC
1-2-0 Aaron Rosa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-6-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
1-2-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
44.7
AgeΔ 1.5 yrs
43.2
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
6'4"
75"
ReachΔ 2"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
153.9
Layoff (months)Δ 19.2 mo
173.1
LNCLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aaron Rosa rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Joey Beltran absorbs 5.18 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.19 Heavyweight norm — hittable.
Joey Beltran owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joey Beltran

Full career not yet synced for Joey Beltran — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Aaron Rosa

Full career not yet synced for Aaron Rosa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5834.58/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1324.62/min · norm 3.41
6605.18/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1294.52/min · norm 3.35
37.1%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
45.5%norm 48.3%
50.5%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
50.4%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joey Beltran

Distance 80.4% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 16.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 9.3%)

Aaron Rosa

Distance 78.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 21.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joey Beltran

Head 84.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.6%)

Aaron Rosa

Head 80.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Beltran L/AAccHeavyweight med Rosa L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 353 / 1264 27.9% 40.1% 80 / 227 35.2% 41.4%
In the clinch 187 / 252 74.2% 70.6% 52 / 63 82.5% 70.9%
On the ground 43 / 56 76.8% 70.2% 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 399 / 1335 29.9% 38.9% 81 / 233 34.8% 38.9%
To the body 105 / 145 72.4% 76.8% 42 / 47 89.4% 71.9%
To the legs 79 / 92 85.9% 87.8% 9 / 10 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Beltran L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Rosa L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 521 / 1136 45.9% 40.7% 84 / 206 40.8% 40.4%
In the clinch 102 / 145 70.3% 70.6% 30 / 38 78.9% 68.7%
On the ground 37 / 51 72.5% 72.0% 15 / 16 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 467 / 1099 42.5% 38.8% 92 / 216 42.6% 37.5%
To the body 99 / 129 76.7% 75.1% 16 / 19 too few to rate 72.3%
To the legs 94 / 104 90.4% 84.4% 21 / 25 84.0% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

518.5% acc · 0.59/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
2672.2% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1285.7% def · norm 66.7%
34:4627.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
1:013.6% of cage time · norm 16.5%
18:002:07 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
13:166:57 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Beltran has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.