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Joe Stevenson vs. Melvin Guillard

UFC 8-8-0 vs. 12-9-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
8-8-0
UFC record
12-9-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44
AgeΔ 1 yrs
43
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
183.8
Layoff (months)Δ 32.4 mo
151.4
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LNCWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Melvin Guillard carries real power — 1.33 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Joe Stevenson is a submission threat — 2.19 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Joe Stevenson hunts takedowns — 2.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Joe Stevenson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 88
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 247

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 48 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Melvin Guillard

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1213
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2111

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.38 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 24 finish wins over 62 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3071.87/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
4483.06/min · norm 3.44
4322.63/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2671.83/min · norm 3.38
42.0%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
39.7%norm 43.65%
60.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
68.1%norm 56.3%
10.09/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
131.33/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joe Stevenson

Distance 65.9% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 26.7% (norm 8.0%)

Melvin Guillard

Distance 79.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 12.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joe Stevenson

Head 84.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.0%)

Melvin Guillard

Head 82.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stevenson L/AAccLightweight med Guillard L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 142 / 482 29.5% 38.3% 312 / 896 34.8% 38.3%
In the clinch 35 / 54 64.8% 67.5% 58 / 96 60.4% 67.5%
On the ground 130 / 195 66.7% 68.8% 78 / 136 57.4% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 225 / 619 36.3% 35.1% 300 / 928 32.3% 35.1%
To the body 44 / 67 65.7% 69.1% 90 / 134 67.2% 69.1%
To the legs 38 / 45 84.4% 81.8% 58 / 66 87.9% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stevenson L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Guillard L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 304 / 865 35.1% 38.8% 219 / 732 29.9% 38.8%
In the clinch 26 / 55 47.3% 68.6% 36 / 75 48.0% 68.6%
On the ground 102 / 170 60.0% 68.0% 12 / 31 38.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 348 / 981 35.5% 35.2% 123 / 604 20.4% 35.2%
To the body 63 / 83 75.9% 68.2% 59 / 111 53.2% 68.2%
To the legs 21 / 26 80.8% 81.5% 85 / 123 69.1% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3146.3% acc · 2.83/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1466.7% acc · 1.44/15 · norm 1.34
1641.0% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
5865.2% def · norm 63.7%
52:2231.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
12:558.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
46:334:14 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
34:063:29 per 15 · norm 2:50
242.19/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
20.21/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guillard has more cage time on record.