BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joe Stevenson vs.
Kurt Pellegrino

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-8-0 Joe Stevenson · UFC
7-5-0 Kurt Pellegrino · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-8-0
UFC record
7-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44.1
AgeΔ 3.1 yrs
47.2
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
181.3
Layoff (months)Δ 3.3 mo
184.6
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Stevenson is a submission threat — 2.19 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Kurt Pellegrino owns the mat — in control 47% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Kurt Pellegrino hunts takedowns — 2.90 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joe Stevenson

Full career not yet synced for Joe Stevenson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Kurt Pellegrino

Full career not yet synced for Kurt Pellegrino — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3071.87/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3042.45/min · norm 3.42
4322.63/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2401.94/min · norm 3.37
42.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.5%norm 43.5%
60.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
63.2%norm 56.3%
10.09/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.36/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joe Stevenson

Distance 65.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 26.7% (norm 8.0%)

Kurt Pellegrino

Distance 64.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 27.3% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joe Stevenson

Head 84.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Kurt Pellegrino

Head 88.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stevenson L/AAccLightweight med Pellegrino L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 142 / 482 29.5% 37.9% 140 / 453 30.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 35 / 54 64.8% 67.3% 34 / 55 61.8% 67.3%
On the ground 130 / 195 66.7% 69.1% 130 / 191 68.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 225 / 619 36.3% 35.0% 240 / 617 38.9% 35.0%
To the body 44 / 67 65.7% 69.1% 46 / 57 80.7% 69.1%
To the legs 38 / 45 84.4% 81.9% 18 / 25 72.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stevenson L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Pellegrino L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 304 / 865 35.1% 38.9% 137 / 501 27.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 26 / 55 47.3% 68.6% 33 / 45 73.3% 68.6%
On the ground 102 / 170 60.0% 68.0% 70 / 106 66.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 348 / 981 35.5% 35.1% 186 / 574 32.4% 35.1%
To the body 63 / 83 75.9% 68.1% 34 / 51 66.7% 68.1%
To the legs 21 / 26 80.8% 81.5% 20 / 27 74.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3146.3% acc · 2.83/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2454.5% acc · 2.90/15 · norm 1.38
1641.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2769.2% def · norm 64.0%
52:2231.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
58:1046.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
46:334:14 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
21:072:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
242.19/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
70.85/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stevenson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.