BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joe Soto vs.
Brett Johns

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-5-0 Joe Soto · UFC
5-2-0 Brett Johns · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-5-0
UFC record
5-2-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
39.4
AgeΔ 4.9 yrs
34.5
5'6"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
65"
ReachΔ 6"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
102
Layoff (months)Δ 29.4 mo
72.6
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Soto is a submission threat — 1.91 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Brett Johns hunts takedowns — 4.92 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Brett Johns is a submission threat — 1.02 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joe Soto

Full career not yet synced for Joe Soto — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Brett Johns

Full career not yet synced for Brett Johns — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2383.36/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
2532.86/min · norm 3.52
3805.37/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
3393.84/min · norm 3.58
41.8%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
49.0%norm 43.4%
67.1%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
53.4%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joe Soto

Distance 94.0% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.6% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 6.5%)

Brett Johns

Distance 72.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 20.5% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joe Soto

Head 88.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 4.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.4%)

Brett Johns

Head 91.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 6.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Soto L/AAccBantamweight med Johns L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 211 / 536 39.4% 39.0% 136 / 372 36.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 3 / 9 too few to rate 68.7% 32 / 38 84.2% 68.7%
On the ground 24 / 25 96.0% 70.2% 85 / 106 80.2% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 195 / 505 38.6% 34.9% 222 / 470 47.2% 34.9%
To the body 17 / 23 too few to rate 66.8% 23 / 35 65.7% 66.8%
To the legs 26 / 42 61.9% 79.4% 8 / 11 too few to rate 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Soto L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Johns L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 338 / 1082 31.2% 39.3% 217 / 551 39.4% 39.3%
In the clinch 20 / 38 52.6% 70.4% 79 / 107 73.8% 70.4%
On the ground 22 / 34 64.7% 72.4% 43 / 70 61.4% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 294 / 1037 28.4% 34.9% 200 / 540 37.0% 34.9%
To the body 56 / 80 70.0% 66.0% 78 / 114 68.4% 66.0%
To the legs 30 / 37 81.1% 79.1% 61 / 74 82.4% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

421.1% acc · 0.85/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
2949.2% acc · 4.92/15 · norm 1.12
1470.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1458.3% def · norm 66.7%
7:3110.6% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
45:0451.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
8:191:45 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
12:512:10 per 15 · norm 2:24
91.91/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
61.02/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Soto has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.