BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joe Soto vs.
Anthony Birchak

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-5-0 Joe Soto · UFC
2-4-0 Anthony Birchak · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-5-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
39.4
AgeΔ 0.8 yrs
40.2
5'6"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
65"
ReachΔ 4"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
102
Layoff (months)Δ 38.4 mo
63.6
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Soto is a submission threat — 1.91 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Anthony Birchak carries real power — 0.96 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Anthony Birchak is a submission threat — 0.48 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joe Soto

Full career not yet synced for Joe Soto — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Anthony Birchak

Full career not yet synced for Anthony Birchak — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2383.36/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
1233.93/min · norm 3.52
3805.37/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
1153.67/min · norm 3.58
41.8%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
36.6%norm 43.4%
67.1%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
56.8%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
20.96/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joe Soto

Distance 94.0% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.6% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 6.5%)

Anthony Birchak

Distance 77.7% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 15.8% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joe Soto

Head 88.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 4.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.4%)

Anthony Birchak

Head 73.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Soto L/AAccBantamweight med Birchak L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 211 / 536 39.4% 39.0% 82 / 261 31.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 3 / 9 too few to rate 68.7% 27 / 53 50.9% 68.7%
On the ground 24 / 25 96.0% 70.2% 14 / 22 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 195 / 505 38.6% 34.9% 66 / 246 26.8% 34.9%
To the body 17 / 23 too few to rate 66.8% 32 / 60 53.3% 66.8%
To the legs 26 / 42 61.9% 79.4% 25 / 30 83.3% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Soto L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Birchak L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 338 / 1082 31.2% 39.3% 69 / 188 36.7% 39.3%
In the clinch 20 / 38 52.6% 70.4% 19 / 32 59.4% 70.4%
On the ground 22 / 34 64.7% 72.4% 27 / 46 58.7% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 294 / 1037 28.4% 34.9% 90 / 224 40.2% 34.9%
To the body 56 / 80 70.0% 66.0% 20 / 31 64.5% 66.0%
To the legs 30 / 37 81.1% 79.1% 5 / 11 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

421.1% acc · 0.85/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
114.3% acc · 0.48/15 · norm 1.12
1470.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1361.9% def · norm 66.7%
7:3110.6% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
3:4111.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
8:191:45 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
10:555:13 per 15 · norm 2:24
91.91/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.48/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Soto has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.