BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joe Pyfer vs.
Kelvin Gastelum

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-1-0 Joe Pyfer · UFC
14-11-0 (1 NC) Kelvin Gastelum · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-1-0
UFC record
14-11-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
29.9
AgeΔ 4.9 yrs
34.8
6'2"
HeightΔ 5"
5'9"
75"
ReachΔ 4"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
4.3
Layoff (months)Δ 0.5 mo
3.8
WWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Pyfer carries real power — 1.05 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Joe Pyfer is a submission threat — 0.84 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Kelvin Gastelum carries real power — 0.43 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joe Pyfer

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 82
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.58 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Kelvin Gastelum

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2533.53/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
12693.65/min · norm 3.25
2393.33/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
12223.52/min · norm 3.20
43.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 47.4%
52.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.3%norm 53.8%
51.05/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
100.43/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joe Pyfer

Distance 89.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 10.3%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Distance 90.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joe Pyfer

Head 81.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 8.4%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Head 80.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pyfer L/AAccMiddleweight med Gastelum L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 214 / 526 40.7% 40.5% 1082 / 2695 40.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 7 / 12 too few to rate 70.3% 109 / 171 63.7% 70.3%
On the ground 32 / 47 68.1% 69.1% 78 / 129 60.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 176 / 479 36.7% 38.9% 824 / 2419 34.1% 38.9%
To the body 58 / 75 77.3% 71.7% 233 / 326 71.5% 71.7%
To the legs 19 / 31 61.3% 83.3% 212 / 250 84.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pyfer L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Gastelum L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 220 / 478 46.0% 39.5% 1052 / 2613 40.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 6 / 9 too few to rate 70.9% 102 / 153 66.7% 70.9%
On the ground 13 / 18 too few to rate 69.0% 68 / 97 70.1% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 124 / 353 35.1% 37.9% 768 / 2234 34.4% 37.9%
To the body 45 / 63 71.4% 71.3% 274 / 406 67.5% 71.3%
To the legs 70 / 89 78.7% 82.1% 180 / 223 80.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

625.0% acc · 1.25/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2435.3% acc · 1.04/15 · norm 1.42
466.7% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
5560.4% def · norm 63.1%
7:4810.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
47:1513.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
6:191:19 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
51:252:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
40.84/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
20.09/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gastelum has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.