BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs.
Carla Esparza

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-5-0 Joanna Jedrzejczyk · UFC
10-6-0 Carla Esparza · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-5-0
UFC record
10-6-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
39
AgeΔ 0.2 yrs
38.8
5'6"
HeightΔ 5"
5'1"
65"
ReachΔ 2"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
49.8
Layoff (months)Δ 27.8 mo
22
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Carla Esparza hunts takedowns — 3.28 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk rarely shoots — 0.27 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk outworks the Women's Strawweight division — 6.28 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.77 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Full career not yet synced for Joanna Jedrzejczyk — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 9-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Carla Esparza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

17546.28/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
4922.19/min · norm 3.77
9073.25/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
6442.87/min · norm 3.94
48.1%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
39.5%norm 44.5%
62.8%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
54.4%norm 54.4%
10.05/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Distance 87.8% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 11.6% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 0.6% (norm 5.0%)

Carla Esparza

Distance 75.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 16.5% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Head 65.7% (norm 76.4%) · Body 17.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 17.3% (norm 9.1%)

Carla Esparza

Head 86.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 8.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Jedrzejczyk L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Esparza L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1431 / 3199 44.7% 38.3% 280 / 935 29.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 307 / 422 72.7% 72.6% 63 / 106 59.4% 72.6%
On the ground 16 / 23 too few to rate 75.0% 149 / 206 72.3% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 811 / 2395 33.9% 35.4% 363 / 1072 33.9% 35.4%
To the body 435 / 619 70.3% 69.3% 71 / 101 70.3% 69.3%
To the legs 508 / 630 80.6% 77.9% 58 / 74 78.4% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Jedrzejczyk L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Esparza L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 719 / 2169 33.1% 39.7% 409 / 1103 37.1% 39.7%
In the clinch 118 / 190 62.1% 71.5% 53 / 87 60.9% 71.5%
On the ground 70 / 81 86.4% 74.4% 182 / 222 82.0% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 591 / 1915 30.9% 36.0% 473 / 1195 39.6% 36.0%
To the body 139 / 260 53.5% 68.4% 90 / 119 75.6% 68.4%
To the legs 177 / 265 66.8% 79.1% 81 / 98 82.7% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

562.5% acc · 0.27/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
4936.3% acc · 3.28/15 · norm 1.10
10980.1% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1747.2% def · norm 64.1%
21:027.5% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
63:2828.3% of cage time · norm 19.4%
59:153:11 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
32:352:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.05/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
40.27/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Esparza has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.