BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

JJ Aldrich vs.
Cortney Casey

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-6-0 JJ Aldrich · UFC
6-9-0 Cortney Casey · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-6-0
UFC record
6-9-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
33.9
AgeΔ 5.4 yrs
39.3
5'5"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
3.6
Layoff (months)Δ 45.3 mo
48.9
WWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cortney Casey rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Cortney Casey is a submission threat — 0.47 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
JJ Aldrich rarely shoots — 0.70 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

JJ Aldrich

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 41

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Cortney Casey

Full career not yet synced for Cortney Casey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9223.92/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
8164.29/min · norm 3.77
10224.34/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
7614.00/min · norm 3.94
46.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.1%norm 44.5%
61.9%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
55.2%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

JJ Aldrich

Distance 87.6% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 4.9%)

Cortney Casey

Distance 87.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

JJ Aldrich

Head 88.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 7.9% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 7.7%)

Cortney Casey

Head 82.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 10.2% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Aldrich L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Casey L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 741 / 1752 42.3% 39.9% 640 / 1832 34.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 102 / 139 73.4% 73.3% 95 / 142 66.9% 72.6%
On the ground 79 / 108 73.1% 74.7% 81 / 111 73.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 746 / 1768 42.2% 34.9% 558 / 1722 32.4% 35.4%
To the body 118 / 158 74.7% 69.5% 87 / 150 58.0% 69.3%
To the legs 58 / 73 79.5% 82.6% 171 / 213 80.3% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Aldrich L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Casey L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 853 / 2447 34.9% 38.8% 607 / 1453 41.8% 39.7%
In the clinch 153 / 216 70.8% 74.1% 78 / 126 61.9% 71.5%
On the ground 16 / 20 too few to rate 73.4% 76 / 118 64.4% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 528 / 1975 26.7% 35.3% 459 / 1290 35.6% 36.0%
To the body 274 / 425 64.5% 69.0% 144 / 218 66.1% 68.4%
To the legs 220 / 283 77.7% 78.7% 158 / 189 83.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1125.6% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
531.3% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 1.10
2767.5% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1939.6% def · norm 64.1%
39:0016.6% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
11:015.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
16:301:03 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
59:424:42 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
60.47/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Aldrich has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.