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Jim Miller vs. Francisco Trinaldo

UFC 28-18-0 (1 NC) vs. 18-8-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
28-18-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
18-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43
AgeΔ 5 yrs
48
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5.4
Layoff (months)Δ 43.2 mo
48.6
WLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jim Miller is a submission threat — 1.72 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Francisco Trinaldo rarely shoots — 0.98 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Jim Miller's takedown defense leaks — 48% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jim Miller

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2818
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.25 · 28 tier-1/2 wins · 29 finish wins over 59 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-17 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Francisco Trinaldo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 188
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.32 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

13222.92/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
10093.13/min · norm 3.44
15543.43/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8602.67/min · norm 3.38
42.1%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
45.2%norm 43.65%
56.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
60.7%norm 56.3%
60.20/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
50.23/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jim Miller

Distance 81.2% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 9.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.0%)

Francisco Trinaldo

Distance 80.2% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jim Miller

Head 77.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 8.0%)

Francisco Trinaldo

Head 77.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Miller L/AAccLightweight med Trinaldo L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 945 / 2547 37.1% 38.3% 703 / 1789 39.3% 38.3%
In the clinch 194 / 303 64.0% 67.5% 168 / 238 70.6% 67.5%
On the ground 183 / 287 63.8% 68.8% 138 / 203 68.0% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 775 / 2431 31.9% 35.1% 616 / 1723 35.8% 35.1%
To the body 266 / 372 71.5% 69.1% 277 / 375 73.9% 69.1%
To the legs 281 / 334 84.1% 81.8% 116 / 132 87.9% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Miller L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Trinaldo L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1185 / 3031 39.1% 38.8% 679 / 1932 35.1% 38.8%
In the clinch 174 / 255 68.2% 68.6% 100 / 134 74.6% 68.6%
On the ground 195 / 307 63.5% 68.0% 81 / 125 64.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1055 / 2895 36.4% 35.2% 442 / 1598 27.7% 35.2%
To the body 351 / 496 70.8% 68.2% 249 / 390 63.8% 68.2%
To the legs 148 / 202 73.3% 81.5% 169 / 203 83.3% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4545.0% acc · 1.49/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
2142.0% acc · 0.98/15 · norm 1.34
5047.6% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
4460.3% def · norm 63.7%
94:1220.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
64:5920.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
121:424:01 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
54:562:33 per 15 · norm 2:50
521.72/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
110.51/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Miller has more cage time on record.