BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jhonata Diniz vs.
Karl Williams

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-2-0 Jhonata Diniz · UFC
3-1-0 Karl Williams · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-2-0
UFC record
3-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
35.1
AgeΔ 1.5 yrs
36.6
6'4"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
79"
ReachΔ 0"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
9.8
Layoff (months)Δ 14.1 mo
23.9
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Karl Williams hunts takedowns — 4.50 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Karl Williams owns the mat — in control 43% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Jhonata Diniz rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jhonata Diniz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.36 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 11 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Karl Williams

Full career not yet synced for Karl Williams — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2073.67/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1772.95/min · norm 3.36
1923.41/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1602.67/min · norm 3.19
58.8%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
48.1%norm 47.8%
58.4%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
54.3%norm 52.5%
10.27/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.25/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jhonata Diniz

Distance 93.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 9.3%)

Karl Williams

Distance 80.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 16.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jhonata Diniz

Head 83.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 4.5% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.5% (norm 7.6%)

Karl Williams

Head 86.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Diniz L/AAccHeavyweight med Williams L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 194 / 328 59.1% 40.1% 131 / 297 44.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 7 / 14 too few to rate 70.6% 7 / 12 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 6 / 10 too few to rate 70.2% 39 / 59 66.1% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 154 / 292 52.7% 38.9% 132 / 318 41.5% 38.9%
To the body 11 / 16 too few to rate 76.8% 19 / 22 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 42 / 44 95.5% 87.8% 26 / 28 92.9% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Diniz L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Williams L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 127 / 378 33.6% 40.7% 144 / 328 43.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 2 / 3 too few to rate 70.6% 15 / 20 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 63 / 81 77.8% 72.0% 1 / 2 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 154 / 409 37.7% 38.8% 92 / 274 33.6% 38.8%
To the body 26 / 38 68.4% 75.1% 24 / 30 80.0% 75.1%
To the legs 12 / 15 too few to rate 84.4% 44 / 46 95.7% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
1845.0% acc · 4.50/15 · norm 0.95
1869.2% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 64.3%
1:172.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
25:5843.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
21:555:49 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
0:410:10 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
10.25/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Diniz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.