BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jesus Aguilar vs.
Luis Gurule

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 Jesus Aguilar · UFC
1-4-0 Luis Gurule · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0
UFC record
1-4-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
30.4
AgeΔ 2.3 yrs
32.7
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
62"
ReachΔ 2"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5
Layoff (months)Δ 2.8 mo
2.2
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jesus Aguilar is a submission threat — 1.11 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Luis Gurule absorbs 5.65 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.24 Flyweight norm — hittable.
Luis Gurule outworks the Flyweight division — 5.02 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.49 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jesus Aguilar

Full career not yet synced for Jesus Aguilar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Luis Gurule

Full career not yet synced for Luis Gurule — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1772.63/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
2775.02/min · norm 3.49
1672.48/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
3125.65/min · norm 3.24
37.3%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
41.3%norm 44.6%
60.7%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
57.0%norm 56.4%
10.22/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jesus Aguilar

Distance 92.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 7.3%)

Luis Gurule

Distance 93.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jesus Aguilar

Head 70.0% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 13.7% (norm 9.3%)

Luis Gurule

Head 84.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 8.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Aguilar L/AAccFlyweight med Gurule L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 155 / 436 35.6% 40.0% 249 / 626 39.8% 40.0%
In the clinch 17 / 27 63.0% 70.4% 24 / 38 63.2% 70.4%
On the ground 5 / 11 too few to rate 69.7% 4 / 7 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 87 / 332 26.2% 37.6% 207 / 565 36.6% 37.6%
To the body 42 / 77 54.5% 68.5% 28 / 55 50.9% 68.5%
To the legs 48 / 65 73.8% 80.0% 42 / 51 82.4% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Aguilar L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Gurule L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 134 / 371 36.1% 40.1% 271 / 675 40.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.8% 20 / 24 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 25 / 43 58.1% 71.1% 21 / 27 77.8% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 114 / 343 33.2% 35.2% 194 / 568 34.2% 35.2%
To the body 34 / 58 58.6% 68.2% 66 / 101 65.3% 68.2%
To the legs 19 / 24 too few to rate 80.3% 52 / 57 91.2% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

526.3% acc · 1.11/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
317.6% acc · 0.81/15 · norm 1.30
1846.2% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1173.3% def · norm 62.5%
9:2814.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
6:2511.6% of cage time · norm 17.0%
26:566:00 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
5:321:30 per 15 · norm 2:44
51.11/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
10.27/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Aguilar has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.