BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jessica Rakoczy vs.
Valerie Letourneau

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Jessica Rakoczy · UFC
3-3-0 Valerie Letourneau · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
3-3-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
49.3
AgeΔ 6 yrs
43.3
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
Reach
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
135.4
Layoff (months)Δ 19.6 mo
115.8
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jessica Rakoczy is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Jessica Rakoczy's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 64% Women's Strawweight norm.
Valerie Letourneau absorbs 5.40 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.94 Women's Strawweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jessica Rakoczy

Full career not yet synced for Jessica Rakoczy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Valerie Letourneau

Full career not yet synced for Valerie Letourneau — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

502.50/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
4414.51/min · norm 3.77
713.55/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
5285.40/min · norm 3.94
44.6%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
38.0%norm 44.5%
64.5%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
58.9%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jessica Rakoczy

Distance 76.8% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 15.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 5.0%)

Valerie Letourneau

Distance 88.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jessica Rakoczy

Head 71.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 24.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 9.1%)

Valerie Letourneau

Head 83.7% (norm 76.4%) · Body 11.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rakoczy L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Letourneau L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 31 / 86 36.0% 38.3% 363 / 1032 35.2% 38.3%
In the clinch 13 / 17 too few to rate 72.6% 57 / 102 55.9% 72.6%
On the ground 6 / 9 too few to rate 75.0% 21 / 27 77.8% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 28 / 80 35.0% 35.4% 305 / 972 31.4% 35.4%
To the body 19 / 27 70.4% 69.3% 95 / 132 72.0% 69.3%
To the legs 3 / 5 too few to rate 77.9% 41 / 57 71.9% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rakoczy L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Letourneau L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 27 / 105 25.7% 39.7% 463 / 1169 39.6% 39.7%
In the clinch 11 / 24 too few to rate 71.5% 49 / 87 56.3% 71.5%
On the ground 33 / 71 46.5% 74.4% 16 / 28 57.1% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 49 / 167 29.3% 36.0% 284 / 950 29.9% 36.0%
To the body 11 / 16 too few to rate 68.4% 120 / 183 65.6% 68.4%
To the legs 11 / 17 too few to rate 79.1% 124 / 151 82.1% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

120.0% acc · 0.75/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
545.5% acc · 0.77/15 · norm 1.10
00.0% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1066.7% def · norm 64.1%
6:2131.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
10:2710.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
5:224:01 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
19:312:59 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.75/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
20.31/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Letourneau has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.