Jessica Penne vs.
Emily Ducote
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Jessica Penne
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 4 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 10 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.67 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 22 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500
Emily Ducote
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 9 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 24 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.8 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Jessica Penne
Distance 89.6% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 7.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 5.0%)
Emily Ducote
Distance 97.6% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 0.3% (norm 5.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Jessica Penne
Head 77.9% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 3.1% (norm 9.1%)
Emily Ducote
Head 71.7% (norm 76.4%) · Body 14.5% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 13.8% (norm 9.1%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Penne L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med | Ducote L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 253 / 856 | 29.6% | 38.3% | 540 / 1046 | 51.6% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 50 / 69 | 72.5% | 72.6% | 16 / 23 | too few to rate | 72.6% |
| On the ground | 23 / 30 | 76.7% | 75.0% | 3 / 3 | too few to rate | 75.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 186 / 744 | 25.0% | 35.4% | 316 / 769 | 41.1% | 35.4% |
| To the body | 117 / 181 | 64.6% | 69.3% | 114 / 155 | 73.5% | 69.3% |
| To the legs | 23 / 30 | 76.7% | 77.9% | 129 / 148 | 87.2% | 77.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Penne L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med | vs Ducote L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 564 / 1045 | 54.0% | 39.7% | 505 / 1306 | 38.7% | 39.7% |
| In the clinch | 82 / 124 | 66.1% | 71.5% | 83 / 91 | 91.2% | 71.5% |
| On the ground | 41 / 51 | 80.4% | 74.4% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 74.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 436 / 919 | 47.4% | 36.0% | 373 / 1128 | 33.1% | 36.0% |
| To the body | 108 / 135 | 80.0% | 68.4% | 161 / 207 | 77.8% | 68.4% |
| To the legs | 143 / 166 | 86.1% | 79.1% | 54 / 62 | 87.1% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Penne has more cage time on record.