BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jessica Penne vs.
Elise Reed

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-6-0 Jessica Penne · UFC
4-5-0 Elise Reed · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-6-0
UFC record
4-5-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
43.5
AgeΔ 9.8 yrs
33.7
5'5"
HeightΔ 2"
5'3"
67"
ReachΔ 4"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
21.6
Layoff (months)Δ 6.9 mo
14.7
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jessica Penne absorbs 6.30 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.94 Women's Strawweight norm — hittable.
Elise Reed rarely shoots — 0.46 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Opponents land 54% of their strikes at range on Jessica Penne, vs a 40% Women's Strawweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jessica Penne

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 47
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.67 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Elise Reed

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 55
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3262.99/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
3333.41/min · norm 3.77
6876.30/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
3183.26/min · norm 3.94
34.1%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
53.2%norm 44.5%
43.7%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
51.7%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jessica Penne

Distance 89.6% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 7.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 5.0%)

Elise Reed

Distance 90.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 7.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jessica Penne

Head 77.9% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 3.1% (norm 9.1%)

Elise Reed

Head 69.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 16.3% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Penne L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Reed L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 253 / 856 29.6% 38.3% 279 / 565 49.4% 38.3%
In the clinch 50 / 69 72.5% 72.6% 40 / 45 88.9% 72.6%
On the ground 23 / 30 76.7% 75.0% 14 / 16 too few to rate 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 186 / 744 25.0% 35.4% 187 / 432 43.3% 35.4%
To the body 117 / 181 64.6% 69.3% 77 / 102 75.5% 69.3%
To the legs 23 / 30 76.7% 77.9% 69 / 92 75.0% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Penne L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Reed L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 564 / 1045 54.0% 39.7% 203 / 498 40.8% 39.7%
In the clinch 82 / 124 66.1% 71.5% 45 / 59 76.3% 71.5%
On the ground 41 / 51 80.4% 74.4% 70 / 102 68.6% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 436 / 919 47.4% 36.0% 197 / 495 39.8% 36.0%
To the body 108 / 135 80.0% 68.4% 63 / 97 64.9% 68.4%
To the legs 143 / 166 86.1% 79.1% 58 / 67 86.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

814.0% acc · 1.10/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
360.0% acc · 0.46/15 · norm 1.10
847.1% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2653.1% def · norm 64.1%
20:4519.0% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
8:178.5% of cage time · norm 19.4%
14:562:03 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
40:526:17 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.14/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Penne has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.