BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jessica Andrade vs.
Mackenzie Dern

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

17-13-0 Jessica Andrade · UFC
11-5-0 Mackenzie Dern · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

17-13-0
UFC record
11-5-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
34.9
AgeΔ 1.5 yrs
33.4
5'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'4"
62"
ReachΔ 1"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11.7
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
9.4
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mackenzie Dern is a submission threat — 1.06 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Jessica Andrade hunts takedowns — 2.10 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Jessica Andrade outworks the Women's Strawweight division — 6.37 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.77 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jessica Andrade

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1713
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Mackenzie Dern

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 115
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

18246.37/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
7863.47/min · norm 3.77
15975.58/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
8923.93/min · norm 3.94
48.7%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
41.6%norm 44.5%
54.2%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
52.0%norm 54.4%
70.37/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
20.13/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jessica Andrade

Distance 79.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 13.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 5.0%)

Mackenzie Dern

Distance 86.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jessica Andrade

Head 76.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 15.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 9.1%)

Mackenzie Dern

Head 87.3% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Andrade L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Dern L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1318 / 2995 44.0% 38.3% 573 / 1627 35.2% 38.3%
In the clinch 308 / 497 62.0% 72.6% 79 / 105 75.2% 72.6%
On the ground 198 / 255 77.6% 75.0% 134 / 157 85.4% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1147 / 2863 40.1% 35.4% 593 / 1649 36.0% 35.4%
To the body 406 / 570 71.2% 69.3% 110 / 149 73.8% 69.3%
To the legs 271 / 314 86.3% 77.9% 83 / 91 91.2% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Andrade L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Dern L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1260 / 2987 42.2% 39.7% 724 / 1649 43.9% 39.7%
In the clinch 241 / 355 67.9% 71.5% 129 / 152 84.9% 71.5%
On the ground 96 / 142 67.6% 74.4% 39 / 56 69.6% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 1094 / 2853 38.3% 36.0% 477 / 1351 35.3% 36.0%
To the body 287 / 401 71.6% 68.4% 226 / 299 75.6% 68.4%
To the legs 216 / 230 93.9% 79.1% 189 / 207 91.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4054.1% acc · 2.10/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
1418.4% acc · 0.93/15 · norm 1.10
6975.0% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1137.9% def · norm 64.1%
64:3422.6% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
63:4128.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
27:521:27 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
42:302:48 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.31/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
161.06/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Andrade has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.