BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jessica Andrade vs.
Katlyn Cerminara

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

17-13-0 Jessica Andrade · UFC
11-6-0 Katlyn Cerminara · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

17-13-0
UFC record
11-6-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
34.9
AgeΔ 2.7 yrs
37.6
5'1"
HeightΔ 8"
5'9"
62"
ReachΔ 6"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11.7
Layoff (months)Δ 17.2 mo
28.9
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jessica Andrade hunts takedowns — 2.10 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Katlyn Cerminara rarely shoots — 0.31 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Jessica Andrade outworks the Women's Strawweight division — 6.37 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.77 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jessica Andrade

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1713
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Katlyn Cerminara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

18246.37/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
11044.58/min · norm 3.91
15975.58/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
10804.48/min · norm 3.81
48.7%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
34.9%norm 44.9%
54.2%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
62.3%norm 55.95%
70.37/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
10.06/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jessica Andrade

Distance 79.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 13.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 5.0%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Distance 93.9% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jessica Andrade

Head 76.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 15.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 9.1%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Head 79.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Andrade L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Cerminara L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1318 / 2995 44.0% 38.3% 960 / 2967 32.4% 39.9%
In the clinch 308 / 497 62.0% 72.6% 86 / 123 69.9% 73.3%
On the ground 198 / 255 77.6% 75.0% 58 / 69 84.1% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 1147 / 2863 40.1% 35.4% 677 / 2520 26.9% 34.9%
To the body 406 / 570 71.2% 69.3% 269 / 437 61.6% 69.5%
To the legs 271 / 314 86.3% 77.9% 158 / 202 78.2% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Andrade L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Cerminara L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1260 / 2987 42.2% 39.7% 942 / 2687 35.1% 38.8%
In the clinch 241 / 355 67.9% 71.5% 98 / 129 76.0% 74.1%
On the ground 96 / 142 67.6% 74.4% 40 / 47 85.1% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 1094 / 2853 38.3% 36.0% 563 / 2131 26.4% 35.3%
To the body 287 / 401 71.6% 68.4% 186 / 325 57.2% 69.0%
To the legs 216 / 230 93.9% 79.1% 331 / 407 81.3% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4054.1% acc · 2.10/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
515.6% acc · 0.31/15 · norm 1.02
6975.0% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2650.0% def · norm 58.95%
64:3422.6% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
19:007.9% of cage time · norm 19.15%
27:521:27 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
38:452:24 per 15 · norm 3:03
60.31/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
50.31/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Andrade has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.