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Jessica Andrade vs. Katlyn Cerminara

UFC 17-13-0 vs. 12-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
17-13-0
UFC record
12-6-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
35
AgeΔ 2 yrs
37
5'1"
HeightΔ 8"
5'9"
62"
ReachΔ 6"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
14.1
Layoff (months)Δ 14 mo
0.1
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jessica Andrade hunts takedowns — 2.10 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Jessica Andrade outworks the Women's Strawweight division — 6.37 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.77 norm.
Katlyn Cerminara rarely shoots — 0.31 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.94 Women's Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jessica Andrade

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1713
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Katlyn Cerminara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

18246.37/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
11364.62/min · norm 3.93
15975.58/min · norm 4.00
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
10994.47/min · norm 3.84
48.7%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
35.2%norm 45.5%
54.2%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
62.4%norm 56.1%
70.37/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
20.12/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jessica Andrade

Distance 79.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 13.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 5.0%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Distance 93.7% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jessica Andrade

Head 76.4% (norm 76.6%) · Body 15.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 9.1%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Head 80.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.6% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Andrade L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Cerminara L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1318 / 2995 44.0% 38.3% 985 / 3027 32.5% 40.3%
In the clinch 308 / 497 62.0% 72.6% 88 / 126 69.8% 73.9%
On the ground 198 / 255 77.6% 75.0% 63 / 77 81.8% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 1147 / 2863 40.1% 35.4% 706 / 2587 27.3% 36.0%
To the body 406 / 570 71.2% 69.3% 271 / 440 61.6% 69.5%
To the legs 271 / 314 86.3% 77.9% 159 / 203 78.3% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Andrade L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Cerminara L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1260 / 2987 42.2% 39.7% 961 / 2745 35.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 241 / 355 67.9% 71.2% 98 / 129 76.0% 73.8%
On the ground 96 / 142 67.6% 74.4% 40 / 47 85.1% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 1094 / 2853 38.3% 36.0% 572 / 2178 26.3% 35.0%
To the body 287 / 401 71.6% 68.7% 193 / 333 58.0% 69.0%
To the legs 216 / 230 93.9% 79.1% 334 / 410 81.5% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4054.1% acc · 2.10/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
515.6% acc · 0.31/15 · norm 0.94
6975.0% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2750.9% def · norm 61.1%
64:3422.6% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
19:157.8% of cage time · norm 18.7%
27:521:27 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
38:452:21 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.31/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
50.31/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Andrade has more cage time on record.