Jessica Aguilar vs.
Cortney Casey
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Jessica Aguilar
Full career not yet synced for Jessica Aguilar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500
Cortney Casey
Full career not yet synced for Cortney Casey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Jessica Aguilar
Distance 74.4% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 19.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.8% (norm 5.0%)
Cortney Casey
Distance 87.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Jessica Aguilar
Head 72.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 17.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 9.1%)
Cortney Casey
Head 82.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 10.2% (norm 9.1%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Aguilar L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med | Casey L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 194 / 461 | 42.1% | 38.3% | 640 / 1832 | 34.9% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 96 / 123 | 78.0% | 72.6% | 95 / 142 | 66.9% | 72.6% |
| On the ground | 24 / 36 | 66.7% | 75.0% | 81 / 111 | 73.0% | 75.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 168 / 450 | 37.3% | 35.4% | 558 / 1722 | 32.4% | 35.4% |
| To the body | 88 / 111 | 79.3% | 69.3% | 87 / 150 | 58.0% | 69.3% |
| To the legs | 58 / 59 | 98.3% | 77.9% | 171 / 213 | 80.3% | 77.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Aguilar L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med | vs Casey L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 294 / 772 | 38.1% | 39.7% | 607 / 1453 | 41.8% | 39.7% |
| In the clinch | 80 / 112 | 71.4% | 71.5% | 78 / 126 | 61.9% | 71.5% |
| On the ground | 84 / 108 | 77.8% | 74.4% | 76 / 118 | 64.4% | 74.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 313 / 804 | 38.9% | 36.0% | 459 / 1290 | 35.6% | 36.0% |
| To the body | 97 / 132 | 73.5% | 68.4% | 144 / 218 | 66.1% | 68.4% |
| To the legs | 48 / 56 | 85.7% | 79.1% | 158 / 189 | 83.6% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Casey has more cage time on record.