BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jesse Forbes vs.
Ryan Jensen

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-3-0 Jesse Forbes · UFC
2-6-0 Ryan Jensen · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-3-0
UFC record
2-6-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
41
AgeΔ 7 yrs
48
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
76"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
194.3
Layoff (months)Δ 11.1 mo
183.2
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ryan Jensen is a submission threat — 2.20 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Jesse Forbes carries real power — 0.72 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Jesse Forbes is wasteful with strikes at range — only 16% land, vs a 40% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jesse Forbes

Full career not yet synced for Jesse Forbes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.3 wins over .500

Ryan Jensen

Full career not yet synced for Ryan Jensen — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

442.11/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
1002.94/min · norm 3.25
683.26/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1073.15/min · norm 3.20
23.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
40.3%norm 47.4%
56.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
59.2%norm 53.8%
10.72/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.44/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jesse Forbes

Distance 80.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 18.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.6% (norm 10.3%)

Ryan Jensen

Distance 64.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 31.0% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jesse Forbes

Head 86.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 1.1% (norm 8.4%)

Ryan Jensen

Head 87.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 6.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Forbes L/AAccMiddleweight med Jensen L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 24 / 152 15.8% 40.5% 57 / 160 35.6% 40.5%
In the clinch 19 / 35 54.3% 70.3% 7 / 11 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 1 / 3 too few to rate 69.1% 36 / 77 46.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 25 / 164 15.2% 38.9% 80 / 218 36.7% 38.9%
To the body 17 / 24 too few to rate 71.7% 10 / 17 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 2 / 2 too few to rate 83.3% 10 / 13 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Forbes L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Jensen L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 31 / 101 30.7% 39.5% 75 / 212 35.4% 39.5%
In the clinch 28 / 43 65.1% 70.9% 1 / 4 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 9 / 13 too few to rate 69.0% 31 / 46 67.4% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 48 / 134 35.8% 37.9% 56 / 193 29.0% 37.9%
To the body 10 / 12 too few to rate 71.3% 23 / 36 63.9% 71.3%
To the legs 10 / 11 too few to rate 82.1% 28 / 33 84.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

150.0% acc · 0.72/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
450.0% acc · 1.76/15 · norm 1.42
770.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
428.6% def · norm 63.1%
1:428.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
8:1524.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
4:333:16 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
7:463:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.72/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
52.20/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jensen has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.