BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jeremy Stephens vs.
Renato Moicano

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-20-0 (1 NC) Jeremy Stephens · UFC
13-7-0 Renato Moicano · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-20-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
13-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40.2
AgeΔ 3 yrs
37.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 1.2 mo
4.1
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jeremy Stephens carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jeremy Stephens

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1622
Tier 3 — regional circuit 131

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-17 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Renato Moicano

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 137
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12813.13/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
7714.10/min · norm 3.42
13273.25/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6683.55/min · norm 3.37
40.8%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.2%norm 43.5%
57.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.7%norm 56.3%
180.66/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.16/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jeremy Stephens

Distance 84.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 8.0%)

Renato Moicano

Distance 88.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jeremy Stephens

Head 77.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 7.9%)

Renato Moicano

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stephens L/AAccLightweight med Moicano L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 942 / 2637 35.7% 37.9% 636 / 1379 46.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 126 / 175 72.0% 67.3% 25 / 33 75.8% 67.3%
On the ground 213 / 326 65.3% 69.1% 110 / 155 71.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 752 / 2420 31.1% 35.0% 563 / 1296 43.4% 35.0%
To the body 222 / 307 72.3% 69.1% 75 / 114 65.8% 69.1%
To the legs 307 / 411 74.7% 81.9% 133 / 157 84.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stephens L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Moicano L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1035 / 2709 38.2% 38.9% 556 / 1502 37.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 113 / 165 68.5% 68.6% 27 / 36 75.0% 68.6%
On the ground 179 / 278 64.4% 68.0% 85 / 119 71.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 812 / 2468 32.9% 35.1% 419 / 1331 31.5% 35.1%
To the body 238 / 349 68.2% 68.1% 123 / 176 69.9% 68.1%
To the legs 277 / 335 82.7% 81.5% 126 / 150 84.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3038.5% acc · 1.10/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2140.4% acc · 1.68/15 · norm 1.38
7861.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2764.3% def · norm 64.0%
71:3117.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
41:1121.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
91:283:21 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
24:421:58 per 15 · norm 2:46
110.40/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
70.56/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stephens has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.