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Jeremy Stephens vs. Renan Barao

UFC 15-20-0 (1 NC) vs. 9-8-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-20-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
9-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
40
AgeΔ 1 yrs
39
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
5'6"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5.4
Layoff (months)Δ 77.7 mo
83.1
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jeremy Stephens carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Renan Barao hunts takedowns — 1.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jeremy Stephens

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1622
Tier 3 — regional circuit 131

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-17 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Renan Barao

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 98
Tier 3 — regional circuit 252

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.05 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12813.13/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
9223.92/min · norm 3.52
13273.25/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9574.07/min · norm 3.58
40.8%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
36.8%norm 43.5%
57.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
58.0%norm 56.6%
180.66/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.25/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jeremy Stephens

Distance 84.0% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 8.0%)

Renan Barao

Distance 90.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jeremy Stephens

Head 77.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 8.0%)

Renan Barao

Head 75.5% (norm 77.5%) · Body 15.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stephens L/AAccLightweight med Barao L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 942 / 2637 35.7% 38.3% 772 / 2279 33.9% 39.2%
In the clinch 126 / 175 72.0% 67.5% 107 / 160 66.9% 69.0%
On the ground 213 / 326 65.3% 68.8% 43 / 69 62.3% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 752 / 2420 31.1% 35.1% 538 / 1893 28.4% 35.3%
To the body 222 / 307 72.3% 69.1% 211 / 376 56.1% 66.9%
To the legs 307 / 411 74.7% 81.8% 173 / 239 72.4% 79.2%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Bantamweight: 121 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stephens L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Barao L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1035 / 2709 38.2% 38.8% 816 / 2086 39.1% 39.4%
In the clinch 113 / 165 68.5% 68.6% 84 / 119 70.6% 70.6%
On the ground 179 / 278 64.4% 68.0% 57 / 74 77.0% 72.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 812 / 2468 32.9% 35.2% 654 / 1854 35.3% 34.9%
To the body 238 / 349 68.2% 68.2% 178 / 270 65.9% 66.1%
To the legs 277 / 335 82.7% 81.5% 125 / 155 80.6% 78.8%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3038.5% acc · 1.10/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
2440.7% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 1.12
7861.9% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
3792.5% def · norm 65.7%
71:3117.5% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
36:5915.7% of cage time · norm 17.8%
91:283:21 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
28:001:47 per 15 · norm 2:24
110.40/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
50.32/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stephens has more cage time on record.