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Jeremy Stephens vs. Marcus Davis

UFC 15-20-0 (1 NC) vs. 9-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-20-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
9-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
40
AgeΔ 13 yrs
53
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5.4
Layoff (months)Δ 184.2 mo
189.6
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Marcus Davis is a submission threat — 1.37 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Jeremy Stephens carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Marcus Davis carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jeremy Stephens

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1622
Tier 3 — regional circuit 131

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-17 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Marcus Davis

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.77 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12813.13/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
3562.72/min · norm 3.17
13273.25/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3662.79/min · norm 3.08
40.8%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
39.7%norm 44.75%
57.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
65.7%norm 55.25%
180.66/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.69/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jeremy Stephens

Distance 84.0% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 8.0%)

Marcus Davis

Distance 81.8% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jeremy Stephens

Head 77.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 8.0%)

Marcus Davis

Head 81.2% (norm 78.3%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stephens L/AAccLightweight med Davis L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 942 / 2637 35.7% 38.3% 242 / 733 33.0% 38.5%
In the clinch 126 / 175 72.0% 67.5% 67 / 94 71.3% 67.8%
On the ground 213 / 326 65.3% 68.8% 47 / 69 68.1% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 752 / 2420 31.1% 35.1% 232 / 728 31.9% 36.4%
To the body 222 / 307 72.3% 69.1% 65 / 98 66.3% 70.7%
To the legs 307 / 411 74.7% 81.8% 59 / 70 84.3% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stephens L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Davis L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1035 / 2709 38.2% 38.8% 233 / 808 28.8% 39.1%
In the clinch 113 / 165 68.5% 68.6% 77 / 136 56.6% 68.9%
On the ground 179 / 278 64.4% 68.0% 56 / 123 45.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 812 / 2468 32.9% 35.2% 205 / 856 23.9% 35.6%
To the body 238 / 349 68.2% 68.2% 73 / 107 68.2% 69.6%
To the legs 277 / 335 82.7% 81.5% 88 / 104 84.6% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3038.5% acc · 1.10/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1448.3% acc · 1.60/15 · norm 1.31
7861.9% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
1147.8% def · norm 63.9%
71:3117.5% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
29:4722.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
91:283:21 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
27:553:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
110.40/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
121.37/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stephens has more cage time on record.