BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jeremy Stephens vs.
Marcus Davis

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-20-0 (1 NC) Jeremy Stephens · UFC
9-6-0 Marcus Davis · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-20-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
9-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
40
AgeΔ 12 yrs
52
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 184.2 mo
187.1
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marcus Davis is a submission threat — 1.37 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Jeremy Stephens carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Marcus Davis carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jeremy Stephens

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1622
Tier 3 — regional circuit 131

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-17 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Marcus Davis

Full career not yet synced for Marcus Davis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12813.13/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3562.72/min · norm 3.17
13273.25/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3662.79/min · norm 3.06
40.8%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
39.7%norm 44.9%
57.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
65.7%norm 55.25%
180.66/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.69/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jeremy Stephens

Distance 84.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 8.0%)

Marcus Davis

Distance 81.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jeremy Stephens

Head 77.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 7.9%)

Marcus Davis

Head 81.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stephens L/AAccLightweight med Davis L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 942 / 2637 35.7% 37.9% 242 / 733 33.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 126 / 175 72.0% 67.3% 67 / 94 71.3% 67.8%
On the ground 213 / 326 65.3% 69.1% 47 / 69 68.1% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 752 / 2420 31.1% 35.0% 232 / 728 31.9% 37.2%
To the body 222 / 307 72.3% 69.1% 65 / 98 66.3% 70.7%
To the legs 307 / 411 74.7% 81.9% 59 / 70 84.3% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stephens L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Davis L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1035 / 2709 38.2% 38.9% 233 / 808 28.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 113 / 165 68.5% 68.6% 77 / 136 56.6% 68.9%
On the ground 179 / 278 64.4% 68.0% 56 / 123 45.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 812 / 2468 32.9% 35.1% 205 / 856 23.9% 35.6%
To the body 238 / 349 68.2% 68.1% 73 / 107 68.2% 69.6%
To the legs 277 / 335 82.7% 81.5% 88 / 104 84.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3038.5% acc · 1.10/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1448.3% acc · 1.60/15 · norm 1.27
7861.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1147.8% def · norm 63.9%
71:3117.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
29:4722.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
91:283:21 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
27:553:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
110.40/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
121.37/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stephens has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.