Jeff Curran vs.
Matt Serra
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Jeff Curran
Full career not yet synced for Jeff Curran — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500
Matt Serra
Full career not yet synced for Matt Serra — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Jeff Curran
Distance 92.2% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 6.5%)
Matt Serra
Distance 73.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Jeff Curran
Head 82.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.5% (norm 8.4%)
Matt Serra
Head 75.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Curran L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Serra L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 65 / 270 | 24.1% | 39.0% | 198 / 611 | 32.4% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 10 / 14 | too few to rate | 68.7% | 59 / 84 | 70.2% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 6 / 9 | too few to rate | 70.2% | 76 / 142 | 53.5% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 48 / 241 | 19.9% | 34.9% | 171 / 632 | 27.1% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 21 / 36 | 58.3% | 66.8% | 112 / 147 | 76.2% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 12 / 16 | too few to rate | 79.4% | 50 / 58 | 86.2% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Curran L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Serra L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 75 / 235 | 31.9% | 39.3% | 255 / 562 | 45.4% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 24 / 33 | 72.7% | 70.4% | 91 / 111 | 82.0% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 39 / 69 | 56.5% | 72.4% | 98 / 157 | 62.4% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 78 / 268 | 29.1% | 34.9% | 286 / 658 | 43.5% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 25 / 27 | 92.6% | 66.0% | 125 / 134 | 93.3% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 35 / 42 | 83.3% | 79.1% | 33 / 38 | 86.8% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Serra has more cage time on record.